May

2

It's anyone's game from her.

May

2

Finally a move through constructal 42000 to new all time high with maximum of big corp capture of crisis mentality. the gradual taking off of masks should exert a ebullience.

Sound waves from Andy Aiken and Vic's pod cast of April 28 exist but no sound has reached human ears. can someone help us transmit our hard thought efforts to the public.

Some biotech, crypto, and SP regularities , and discussion of whether government capital spending trumps private capital spending, - the ebullience of taking off masks, the invasion of individualism recedes 

https://studio.youtube.com/video/YdKrnKtII40/edit 

It seems to me that the 4200 level would be an apt time to revisit all the policies that will stifle innovation ,@ the mutually beneficial voluntary exchange that has led to the tremendous increase in prosperity and decline in poverty over past years . a good ref.

Bastiats parable of the broken window seems highly apt to me. all the 6 trillion of spending mite have led to more productive activates by the public as memorized by the followers of Bastiat, Hayek, Ridley, and Jeremy Siegel

May

2

The calm before the storm. ie one had to forecast it wouldn't be bull.. North Carolina where I visited two duke students in family invaded by snatchers. Duke itself a chimera of snatchers.

Everything that flows has in itself the tendency to reconfigure its path so that it flows more and more easily" - Adrian Bejan April 25, 2021 

In a meeting with Adrian Bejan on April 25, he added a a feature to his constructal theory related to market moves that I presented to him. the theory is that the market moves thru cataracts. - a waterfall followed by a temporary reduction in the flow to a new constructal 

mail.google.com/mail/u/0/#inbox?projector=1 

Apr

23

There stands Mr.sogi solid as a stone wall freshly grinding' ' ' Kona coffee for the battle tomorrow.

The fangs love as they know that they can handle the credits and hobble the competitors unto oblivion . what do they call it "capturing the — 

Rent seeking will occur vis planned increases in capital service rates for corps and individuals .

Rent vic being seeking galore but no insider trading happened at all time high. but quickly captured into nugatory by the 100 at Masters , the the bilious billionaires.. sogi standing tall tomorrow.

Andy Aiken ace reliever comes in for Vic on Friday April 30 and Monday May 3. Vic scheduled to start again May 4. threw too many balls dead center.

Vedi published a letter from an irate opera goer who demanded his money back for a performance of Il Trvator. Verdi gave his money back and insisted that the newspapers print the letter of complaint . he refused to reimburse for the return meal.

Victor Nasnsen following in Verdi's tradition. I got the letter with numerous impersonation retweeted by Mr. Hansen. and it was scary as I am not a farmer versed on Military matters until I realized it was a different Vic that the imprecations were hurled at.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=ek7m3IS5ftI Mr. Sogi standing tall one if sows the wind, reaps the whirlwind. 

Apr

22

Hello Mr Sogi how ae you feeing will you be having some Kona coffee later today.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=I6jk0wuCyo0 profit is without honor in his own home.

I am sending out the winner of the Galton quote today. I have winners as follows: Gates Torrey, Ashton Tate, Peter J. Swan, Matthew Gasda, Zee, Henri Huws,Andy Aikon, Venkaksh, Miroslaw, John marris. If there is any other winners please send me your address. 

Apr

20

A transition day to 4200 but then 4 straight breaks of round number without interruptus with terrible backdrop of apologia and exculpation from all corners staring one below the belt.

Transition from major the Sogi level to a minor in the 60's.

I receive a call to intern for me. Mr. Shilopez was my last intern and the next thing he knew he was eating thanksgiving dinner with us. I talk a much better game than I play unfortunately.

Mr. sogi battling the waves in Japan down 900.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=fhJl4JFXbw0 hard to take Kona coffee with Nikkei down 900.

Phil Kerpin ( dare one mention ) asks why all the sudden half of medias overnight came out against outdoor masking.

https://unusualwhales.com/i_am_the_senate " one has to be kidding"

All things considered, it looks good from 4115 to me but I am often wrong.

The frog jumped out at 4110.50.

Apr

19

Just to clarify the contructals up to 3200 sp futures June are bull . One apologizes for the typos.

It's still possible to make a fortune in tech http://paulgraham.com/richnow.html?curator=MediaREDEF 

Apr

19

The more progressive it gets in the future the more bull it becomes up to 3400. However a look at political economists from Smith to Misses to Hayek to Mises to Ridley is sobering.

https://amazon.com/How-Innovation-Works-Flourishes-Freedom/dp/B07Y8R2GV8/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=how+innovation+works&qid=1618708847&sr=8-1a highly recommended. Informative book with respect to progressive spending versus the market. .the example if the 30 million test of the foregoing in 1940 where the long distance plane sponsored by the former group crashed is highly resonant.

As my tweets could be misinterpreted by the pessimists and the crisis mongers, please remember my request to retweet any thing you find worthy of communication rather than liking it et al 

Apr

19

Very useful interview with Andy Aiken on all things crypto.

studio.youtube.com/video/f07qX-2xIPE/edit very greenish day so far after long scan of green and yellow up days in SP.

Apr

16

studio.youtube.com/video/yqPeBzKLR9k/ed what happens when a streak ends? Lou Gehrig versus Pele, turn in Thursday at 520 for great interview with Andrew Aiken

Apr

14

This isn't cricket so far range of 10 ppts doesn't give top feeders any extra profits from forcing the weak out.. night eminis even less volatile and less profitable for strong.

He crossed the line of campers at Kinidergard last time. must say economy weak this time to be chosen for red team.

Anything to get more stimulus in tribute to those below the median.

Free associations —break from masters tournament via zoom, how dependent a and resentful are you, , you cant afford lobbyists, lawyer any service critics and subsidies for me, one down day, that was dirty trick against CNN manager,, truth serum with a sparrow.

Apr

13

Everything was up today. All the feedback loops are positive. the most bullish thing of all is that now the professional sports leagues and their followers in the big corps will have yet another reason to be one with the idea that has the world in its grip.

As Ridley says the leaders who show the most empathy and are against the most will win the McCartur award or even the Nobel peace award.

And the market's being up 10 days in a row, close toc lose, and 13 items open to close in a row, is quite bullish,4200 SP and of course 30000 Nikkei are in the sights and have the weather gage. and the reasons are exponentially increased by the violence of yesterday.

One demur for asking a favor. but– I have a lot of friends on this site built yup with mutual trust and I believe benefit over many year. but no matter what I tweet, I am losing followers. I believe it is because the algorithms mistakenly believe that I am not woke enough and worse yet I like baseball and the former captain of the Yale baseball team who's edging above the famous sharp golf player. For example when I tweeted that we should all celebrate the Market breaking thru 3100 in the face of tremendous obstacles. I received the greatest response ever for me over 12000 impressions. Yet I lost many subscribers that day. I don't believe it was the bears who gave up on me. Apparently I demurred to the words " stop it, stop it regarding a baseball refraction. Similarly when I allude toe he who must not be mentioned.

For example his suggestion that a traveler in the bush secrete a silver flask with a diamond in lest he be robbed and have no wherewithal l left ( but as Stigler says " beware that you don't get skinned alive in the search for more secreted valuables" 

In any case the favor is this kindly instead of impressioning my tweets or liking it, kindly retweet it. In that way I will counter balance the cascade of algorithmic losses of friend subscribers and will be able to continue tweeting with dignity. Thank you. 

Apr

12

Adventure Probability interesting application of probably to his one field from Hobo Adventure is strictly (cont) https://tl.gd/n_1srlhfh.

A review of a travel book by he whose name may not be mentioned " do not profess to receive hints for a trip (cont) https://tl.gd/n_1srlhp3 

The top feeders in the ecosystem received a breath of fresh air from the Huang loss of 5 billion and it provided energy for the markets recent and unprecedented rise thru two round numbers. this is typical when a player is margined out bit. one should make a history of such.

Recently 2 companies whose culture was faith based have received considerable attention. Huan and Wework. One should make a study of companies whose culture is based in large part on faith and look at their sub performance. what is good source for faith based companies?

Predictive correlation of faith with subsequent performance seems mixed.

If Mr Bassett wished to be briefed on how to cross a river by holding on to a horses tail and other brilliances he should follow the art of -travel

Use number 35 for a hat. "if a traveler can swim pretty well it is a good idea to make a float when he wishes to cross a river and to lay his breat on it while his valuables are enclosed in a large turban on his head" from an ingenious gentleman whose name not mentioned.

Quote of day " I have observed that not the man who hopes when others despair , but the man who despairs when others hope is admired by a large class of persons as a sage" Jsmill quoted by Matt Ridley in his highly recommended book " the Rational Optimist" .

Apr

12

Proverb of day. Be careful of the opportunity that is knocking may in fact be defeat cloaked in the guise of victory.

Shout out to Lrene Morrison for resilient performance. 5o years ago she ran two companies select a sprint and American almond and did heroic jobs.. Alan millhone played in college checker tournament 50 years ago and is now fine player and president of American checker federation.

 

Apr

10

An interesting recommendation from the Hobo Michener is the most prolific producer of tomes on my passion of (cont) https://tl.gd/n_1srlffc

Apr

8

The Archi Huang loss to credit Suisse and Nomura calls into review the famous essay by the great man of the 19th century " the efficacy of Prayer:" Mr. Huang liked to deal with those wearing cross necklaces and when a stock went up he often said " it was blessed by the Good one. On the efficacy of prayer. after careful study of the lives of missionaries and those most prayer for and the rates on annuities for the prayerful, the author concludes " it seems to me clear that all belief in the efficacy of prayer must be yielded:"

"The evidence I have been able to collect ( and it is extensive in 10 fields) bears wholly and solely in the direction( of inefficacy) and in the face of it the onus probandi must henceforth lie on the other side.

What are the chances that the SP will hit rise above 4100 before falling below 4050? a statistically study seems appropriate . of the last 9 where the SP reached a new high in the 80's, eight of them sailed on the hundred before succumbing to the 50"s.( thanks to Susan)

Susan for 45 years has studiously assisted in studies like this and now that she has 1 grand children and counting it is good to see she still can organize and memorialize a study in the spirit of the great quantifier of the 19th century. 

Apr

7

https://studio.youtube.com/video/NXCRJMETC1o/edit invasion of the body snatchers, a very progressive and therefore bull day forthcoming, odds of presidential election changing against former prez. a series of maxs interruptus.

Proverbs from two great men one from the 19th century,1 from the 20th century. the rational optimist.

Mr. tiger where have you been? I've missed you. what do you think about the quintessential American game being politicized. Larry and I would have felt this very bearish. he was " doc Greenspans " thesis adviser and gave me the skinny on its falsity.

The operatives get out of their love hotels and note the humiliations of the Nikkei below 3000 while the SP breaches 4000 with ease on its way to 5000.

To the 10 people who won the search for the great mans quote from 1883 , please bear with me as it will take a week or two to send your prize as I am just a individual trader with no back up without much mobility but as Art Bisguier liked to say " the Hindhu will do.

What he can do>> I believe this was a reference to the great Indian player who beat Capablanca without so much as considering castling as it was not in their rules.

Nobody asked me but there is something loathsome about the official saying " stop it, stop it" in response to legit query. also interesting is the officials apparent failure to remember his treasury secretary's name.

Nobody asked me but there is something out of kilter with a high official trying to increase corporate service rates over the world .

What's the name of Chinese house of rep who always knows the minutes before hand and makes big bet with exotics and where is she now.

Judy chu always seems to have skinny on what's happening with government announce. they used to follow fed open market board to the men's room before open market announcements. some one should put an hour guard around Judy chu before such announcements as coming 200 pm. One guesses she's long until close.

Quote of day " life 'in general may be looked upon as a republic where the individuals ae for the most part unconscious that while they are working for themselves they are also working for the greater good.

Apr

6

Quote of day " the conditions that direct the order of the whole of the living world around us are marked by their persistence in improving the birthright of successive generations " they determine at much cost of individual comfort that each plant and animal shall on.

The general average be endowed at its birth with more suitable individual faculties than those of its representative in the preceding generation" a great man's quote and along with Ridley's idea and its extension the real reason for the 50000 fold a century drift.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=F7xjzAn510s influence of baseball, the day's progressive news, a continuous rise of 150 points et al .

A prize of signed copy of education of a speculator will be given to the first 10 individuals who can finish the next sentence of the optimistic quote of the great man . send to vniederhoffer@gmail.com.

Thank the good one that the odds on the Governor are catching up to the former Prez. Let us hope that a verdictive bitter critique is not forthcoming.

There have been some good detective work on the great man's quote.// Mr. Ze suggests that I give his regards to Mr. Sogi. what are the chances that Mr. Sogi will have to disgorge his cup of Kona today? 

The winners so far are Aiken, Venkatech, Howe, Owen. Ashton, swan, Pitt, Martin, two more you can post here if you couldn't get thru. but don't put any names in it, as one doesn't want to lose any more subscriber friends.

Had a dream based in Mill valley, cal.. I was not a financial adviser but a Dr. The streets outside were empty, for sale signs were up all over. no one was washing windows. and my patients kept coming in with a strange malady. their fathers, kids didn't seem to be the sane anymore.

Mr. Ze was a winner too. 

wsj.com/articles/vaccine-passports-prolong-lockdowns-11617726629?mod=hp_opin_pos_2 how did Harvard let this one get out the door (cont) https://tl.gd/n_1srlbrk.

The world traveler and man of many talents shares what's happening in slab city https://mail.google.com/mail/u/0/#inbox/FMfcgxwLtQNngcbMLNTsNDZljgWpcPTn (cont) https://tl.gd/n_1srlbs3 

The man of many talents and the world traveler once used the match marking sites of his day. He mentioned (cont) https://tl.gd/n_1srlbs7 .

Proverb of day" speaking of defeat: after a couple of losses:: the poorest draw looks like a brilliancy: stick in there ( a very appropriate one for bears who were confronted by a 170 point continuous SP rise and be visited with a 2 point decline today. 

Apr

5

Some numbers 60 million bird watchers in America, 5 millions members of book clubs– what other number of Bourgleois virtues can you dig up?

Apparently 20- 25 million anticipants each of baseball , basketball, and football. 

Apr

5

https://amazon.com/Bourgeois-Virtues-Ethics-Age-Commerce/dp/B01NBJOANS/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=bourgeois+virtues&qid=1617546179&sr=8-1 another bourgeois virtue being tarnished or destroyed by elites, big corps, et al

https://www.amazon.com/Bourgeois-Virtues-Ethics-Age-Commerce/dp/B01NBJOANS/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=bourgeois+virtues&qid=1617546179&sr=8-1 

Birdwatching, square dancing, , chess, shell collecting, baseball.. national pastimes what ordinary people do. how will it affect the markets? barbershop, square dancing, birdwatching, a visit to their national conventions– or halls of fame, frequently attended by 25000 or more gives one confidence in the strength of the common person. how will politics, infringe on baseball, the former nat pastime.

Apr

5

Homeostasis and contructal having been achieved, the 4030's seem high.

His is the worst decision baseball has made since the [1994] strike," Travis wrote. "You need an ID to pick up tickets to attend a baseball game. Or to get a beer inside once you’re there. But MLB is moving the all star game because you need an ID to vote? This is pure insanity." 

Dr Cattle says he doesn't think anyone would consider him a scare monger. One would ask him if he has ever sad anything that a reasonable person would not think would have the effect of making the progressive case more rewarding and the other side more costly. 

Excellent books recommended from Marginal Analysis 

https://econjwatch.org/articles/what-21st-century-works-will-merit-a-close-reading-in-2050-second-tranche-of-responses 

Apr

2

Proverb of day. Wiswell. " weakness of character are normally shown in a game of chess" Gary Kasparov. " weakness of character are normally chown in a game of checkers" Wiswell. " weakness of character are normally shown in the game of markets " victor

SP at 3983 perilously close to 4000. what we need is service rates raised for corps and individuals ," office of Handicapper General.

Plus sa change, plus cest la meme chose "

https://www.saturdayeveningpost.com/2018/11/the-history-of-stealing-elections/ 

Mar

31

Query

March 31, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Victor Niederhoffer  writes:

To what extent were major discoveries in pharmacy like Fleming on penicillin profit  making actives.

Henry Gifford writes

Fleming I heard wanted the world to enjoy and benefit from his discovery, thus he didn't patent it, thus nobody spent the money to get it tested and approved, thus it was another 10+ years until it was widely available. I don't know who footed the bill for his lab or his salary.

Much work on diseases has been done by various military organizations, as "casualties" (solders becoming unavailable to fight) in-theater are caused more by disease than enemy action in many wars. I hear the US Army reportedly cured yellow fever and maybe other things.

Stefan Jovanovich writes:

I think the discovery itself is often not profit motivated. Flemming: "One sometimes finds, what one is not looking for." I suppose one then needs to create an environment whereby one can not look for what one is looking for. Variously, pharma companies have tried it, given up on it, outsourced, and required it, depending upon their shareholders patience for R&D. Perhaps SPACs are the perfect vehicle as they are blind capital? There is an argument that RNA based medicine is going to be more targeted and solution oriented and therefore might fit the capitalist mould better.

Today PFE announced its vaccine is 100% effective on 12-15 year olds and should be distributed amongst that population. Is the justification for vaccinating that group that it will reduce transmission and therefore protect the old? Wouldn't it be better to deploy any injection to vulnerable groups? 12m kids is 15% of 70m seniors. Amid a pandemic, what historical parallel is there for a vaccine being given to one subpopulation (for whom the disease has minimal effect) in order to protect another (the old)? And what about the fact that giving acquired immunity to the young might reduce their innate immune response if there is an evolved variant of the virus (or is this not a possibility)?

Mar

31

Victor Niederhoffer  writes:

How many of the great inventions were made for profit  rather than government sponsored or the common good.    

Peter writes:

If war is government sponsored great inventions (in some cases for profit as well) - I believe you will cover most of the great advances in medicine, aerospace, computers, etc…add the Cold War space race and most of the items in my kitchen can be added to the invention list.

Stefan Jovanovich writes:

The grand achievement of the American integrated freight system - now the world's logistical model - was almost entirely a product of the mass stupidity we call the Civil War.

James Lackey writes:

Mr Stephan,

You've got to admit that pure speculation in rail paper traded in NYC was important.

Victor Niederhoffer  writes:

lets do some more justice to the influence of profits making on invention. I've only listed the ones where great industries were formed and there were patent fights. Newcomen– steam engine, John kay– flying shuttle,  Hargreaves– spinning jenny, James watt steam engine, Cartwright –power loom, Whitney– cotton gin and interchangeable parts, Trevithick road steam locomotive, Stephenson–railways. Isambard Kingdom Brunel - revolvers, colt, brunel steam ship, singer, home sewing machine, Bessemer steel processing, more telegraph, Edison lightbulb Benz internal combustion engine.

Mar

31

studio.youtube.com/video/c83zprvYH8o/edit the market drifting around one time hits, credit Suisse, serial correlation of employment.

Handicapper General on the ball, finally sets all time high in conjunction with service increases. all we need is to sustain his is for Fangs, sage, Palindrome to cheer for even higher service rates without that, regularities are bear from here.

A very progressive day with stocks according at an all time high, instead of unmentionably subjects lets have some wisdom from the great adventure traveler Keely 12:53 PM (5 (cont) https://tl.gd/n_1srl1le 

Mar

31

Proverb of day from Thom Weisel– every defeat not checked today will haunt you by future defeats tomorrow.. defeats that are corrected are transformed into victories.

It was a Harrison Bergerac day with the handicapper general playing an all court game : the teachers in San Diego are teaching the migrants in school to not regulate students– the successful companies are in his sites for cancelation of their patents, and for defending themselves ( in the case of amazon) The General has in his sites the growth companies. and he refuses to hit 4000 sp until the sage calls for more service revenues compared to his secretary.

Mar

31

Xclnt article in Sunday NY times " the house always wins" bet 365 - how does vig compare? in game betting — when will it come to our markets.? what are chances that the sogi will be hit 3 times in next 10 minutes? what chances that sage will call for -before 1100 pm bet 365 limits amount that winners can bet same as robin hood on game stop . polymorphism, coefficient of relatedness.

Could not be a more progressive day and thus more bull. 

Mar

30

Proverb of day "exercising the right of occasional suppression and slight modification, it is truly absurd to see how plastic a limited number of observations become ,in the hands of men with preconceived ideas. quoted by Stigler in The Seven Pillars of Statistical wisdom.

The previous quote is by the namesake of Stigler's hero and my first daughter . it is applicable to most of the mumbo jumbo that is encapped by charting and other coincidences.

Hint : for even mentioning his name as the father of multivariate analysis stretcom fired me and Laurel 20 years ago.  

Mar

28

The garden of forking paths: Why multiple comparisons can be a
problem, even when there is no “fishing expedition” or “p-hacking” and
the research hypothesis was posited ahead of time
 Andrew Gelman† and Eric Loken‡ 14 Nov 2013

Abstract
Researcher degrees of freedom can lead to a multiple comparisons
problem, even in settings where researchers perform only a single
analysis on their data. The problem is there can be a large number of
potential comparisons when the details of data analysis are highly
contingent on data, without the researcher having to perform any
conscious procedure of fishing or examining multiple p-values. We
discuss in the context of several examples of published papers where
data-analysis decisions were theoretically-motivated based on previous
literature, but where the details of data selection and analysis were
not pre-specified and, as a result, were contingent on data.

http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/unpublished/forking.pdf

Mar

28

Susan Niederhoffer writes:

https://youtu.be/2anJ8qHGuC4

Victor Niederhoffer writes:

How many of  this typical spec party enjoyed this opus from the greatest piano player of our generation.

Mar

28

wsj.com/articles/the-long-tail-of-the-pandemic-puppy-business-11616770770?mod=hp_lista_pos3 the hiways and byways shadows and lights of a great trader Larry Williams.

https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UC85UPcd0vziV3C8ShkRvfCA hiways and by ways of a trader Larry Williams https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UC85UPcd0vziV3C8ShkRvfCA.

Mar

27

Pressure

March 27, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Victor Niederhoffer  writes:

What can the physics of pressure tell us about markets.  when a large accumulation of sel orders is directed at one point the force /area is great as it is in a triple top or double top or break thru the sogi/ what other elementary physical principles apply to markets. 

Zubin Al Genubi writes:

I can venture to say the idea of Gravity does NOT work in markets. Looking at a chart one gets the illusion of height or that gravity might effect prices but it is an illusion and a dangerous misleading illusion.

Peter DeBaz writes:

I'm not a physicist, so I'm sure that any understanding I have of physics would make a pro scoff.  Financial "momentum" could be an expression of newton's first law.  VN's original idea could be a restatement of f=ma, newton's second.  And finally, "value" trading could be a violation of the second law of thermodynamics, which is why, one could argue, that it never worked (lol). 

Andrew Aiken writes:

Black-Scholes-Merton option pricing formula is a direct restatement of the heat (diffusion) equation:

ut − ∆u = f(x, t)

and later refinements such as Heston, which allows for pricing “jumps”, are extensions of this equation with additional conditions.

(I prefer to price options in a way that doesn’t underprice tail risk)

Mar

27

Bonds finally going down but still 1/2 pt above 1 year lows.

Interview today with the great and multi dimensional Larry Williams today on Yelena victor blog at 500pm

Mar

27

Proverb of day. particularly apt for last 3 days - down a cumulative 2.5%, "your game is often less strong in the ending than it appears in the opening - the truth of the matter is that it was lost in the muddle".

One of those irrational reaction. tapering in play. ultimately. that's supposed to bearish for bonds as fed doesn't buy more debt and sell some. but bonds don't go down. but stocks dol. what is the reason? does the liquidity from bonds go directly to stocks?

One nost Germany just down 0.15 %. the sogi level of 3850 is in play. excessive bear in stock in my opinion, buying some before below the sogi level of 3850. one notes bonds finally down 3 tick before was up 10 tips for day. what are chances of blue day if not today then tomorrow.

If it was good for silage and vig and busted spec overnight like at 430am est then why not create some transactions and especially vig now.

The end game didn't work for 75 pts and last 3 games. perhaps a refutation of the infrastructures defense this time.

Mar

24

This is interesting that I've heard from many spec that the move from the low in march is u p 50% and this is very rare and very bear. but tut have tested it. its not so rare and its bullish. Mr. Pink gives me a nice study going back to 1922. the points is that as usual the conventional wisdom and yet another reason to be fearful is totally malarkey and mumbo jumbo.

Gentlemen bout of love hotel at 430 am there time . they stayed a little later than anticipated.

On Ridpath Tribute Inbox Linden Doerr <lwdoerr@gmail.com> 12:10 PM (1 hour ago) to me Please consider for (cont) http://tl.gd/n_1srkol9 

Mar

23

Proverb of day : if I hadn't gone there:; if I hadn't made that capture: if I hadn't sacrificed a piece: if it were not for the "ifs "wed all be champions.

The stimulus twins testify today. that; must be why bonds going thru roof.

https://zerohedge.com/markets/american-health-regulators-slam-astrazeneca-releasing-incomplete-trial-data problem may be their outsized contribution to a certain governors association.

If I hadn't waited to buy after the opening, if I had bought crude when I wanted to down 270 on the day, if I hadn't waited until cancel gardener said the economy was no god, if I had been , if I hadn't up at 500 am when the SP was hitting 3910, if I hadn't suggested that the basketball team Liberty change its name as its not in keeping with the Tripoli,, if I had bought Nasdaq instead of SP, if I hadn't been turned off buying so because the Nikkei was down big–

Proverb of day. the race is not to the swiftest, nor the slowest. the laurel wreath is awarded to the steadiest and the surest.

It was a blue day yesterday and so far its blue also. with Nasdaq in the green.

Gentlemen get computer warning from love hotel at 28300 Nikkei.

Mar

22

Happy days a Barron Coleman day bonds and stocks very green.

https://dailyspeculations.com/wordpress/?p=7285spp some time ago, Mr. Steveelison defined a flexion index as the performance of the financial sector stocks versus the averages. With a flexion in the Defense Dept. deviating his attention to diversity and progressive , this mite be an interesting play. 

Mar

22

Proverb of day goes along with errors in anticipating , every aspect of day. " we all have losing days, drawing days, and wining days: not every day is a loosing day: and not every day is a drawing day, and although we may not like it, not every day is a winning. Not every day is a winning day: that's life in chess, checkers and markets.

Mar

20

Did you know that Dailyspeculations.Com now has a Youtube Channel ?

You can find it here

Or you can find a link on this page, further down on the right side under Resources & Links

Enjoy!

Mar

19

Thank you very much. I was able to shave and then have a refreshing cup with Mr. Sogi virtually.

Mt.ag trader we will pay half and whenever you're ready were game.

For those who just found my twitter I am a shooting star could be canceled at any time as the algorithm's mistakenly believe i am not progressive enough so your following me mite be ephemeral 

Mr. Woland asks me to o pine on an article which says that foreign bonds a re much more attractive than us bonds. I am not an expert on this. but after a 30 big point decline in bonds I would hesitate to be overly bearish on them. the fed is in a pair of pants on bonds.

As mentioned. eventually they will have to stop raising rates as it will hurt the vote buying. as for foreign bonds being much more attractive, the yields are all equilibrated by the forward rates in currencies. so where it look like you are getting extra yields.

In foreign bonds you are expected to lose a much in the exchange rate. I apologize if this is too naïve and doesn't answer your question but I am not astute enough to digest a erudite study in a disparate field with my ageism and stroke. 

Proverb of the day" chess and checkers represent our intellectual nourishment. they are available to all, and they are ours for the taking. Some take to chess, and some take to checkers, like a fish to water" and a few hardy souls like Harry Pillsbury( who could play 30 game.

Pillsbury could play 30 games simultaneously blind folded while engaged in a game of ping pong and exchanging share repartee) develop ability in both games. However, the majority of players are content to play and master one of these great games: although the masters do not.

The masters do no really master either game. Life is too short for either game) Tom Wiswell.

Big cons in the market and life. importance of reducing vig by going for big gains or losses, the best western book of all time, intro to Elmer Kelton, and a meal for limited time on triple witching hour, books my family owned the role of police et al.

Shocking decline Nikkei down2.5% over night. From re sofar green with bonds and stocks. crude say above 60.00. Ms. Harries 50% more likely to be president in 2024 than Mr. Biden according to betting odds. Harvard pretends to be caring of Asians.

The round number couldn't be prenumbered.. the prediction of an up opening was wrong by 8 big pts. grains and crude are up.. bullish vibes for the future especially next week. how low can the fed force bonds down to increase service rates and wealth penalty.

Proverb of day: when you beat players on the way up, let them down gently: you are sure to meet them again.. on the way down. and a bonus: don't play on a heavy meal: a hungry player is a good player.

Beware of getting in over your head so that your brokerage or clearing firm can close you out without notice.

Today was one of those days where you keep looking at the screen after the close, and thinking that some final ticks are missing — and sure to come in a few minutes.

Mar

19

Aftermath of open market meeting, bond vigilantes bring bond down to 153 handle. Nikkei reaches 303000 but then recedes to 299254 now. stock market has nice 2% decline form 3980 high. a bad day for woke .There creating recrimination Damocles sword hangs over chance gardener.

Dr. cattle " its a race between the virus and the vaccine, "could be better in 2022.

Any ideas that were based on the rally fizzling at yesterday's close are vitiated,

Mr. ag trader. can we interview you at 5pm Est time. We admire a man who speaks plain truth.

When I was in my prime, my uncle Roy worked for us and was then as always very facile with the computers. at age of 13 he had produced 100 games and had 10 brights from great neck south working for him. He produced voice program that was triggered by prices . and Paul Derosa said it was better than any trading manager. one of the computer vocalizations was " how Loo can bonds go " it is relevant. and we humbly request an interview with Mr. ag trader to augment the computer.

Mr James Altucher worked for us also. and I complement him on one foot he most deceptive door openers that I have ever had the gullibility to be exposed to. ill finish the story when I drink my coffee.

The funny thing about the door opener that induced the hire is that I believe MR. Alutcher would be very proud of it to this day it is. Speaking of Mr. Altucher one must point to the several years that MR. Adam Robinson worked for us. He often played chess with Art beguiler.

Its anyone's game as of 11 pm Est

Mar

17

Last on3 on 1 -22 opened down 48 big pts and then went down 88 from there that would be good for anyone including the croc hunters.

"If you cut off the tall trees the tulips will grow" chance gardener.

Thanks goodness the germens and Japanese were forewarned.

What we can all agree on is if all humans were ordered to sleep with mask's and never get out of bed , the climate would be much better and the virus would be checked. And this doesn't only apply to 2 year old but to new born and old folks also.

I am leaving the table to study checkers proverbs. you can play my hand but at your risk .

While I'm away from the table I'll have a serving of dairy queen milk shake and I'll study all Geico advertisements over the past years to see if they are the apotheosis of the sage's contempt for the common man and call for increased service rates. 

Proverb of the day " if you want to be certain of your position, begin by doubting it" tom would apply that himself . In any hard fought game he'd stop and thoughtfully say " I'm in over my head . I better simplify: tom was undefeated for 25 years while he was world champion.

The funny thing is that all good checker players learn to think 40 moves or so forward. so when a good player says the ending is ambiguous I better simplify he's often thinking 4o moves in advance or several alternative paths depending which for the opponent takes. that's why checkers is a game of exactitude. to say nothing about how a good player will know the book and in the old days have a manuscript with thousands of games.

As Tom says so common is the game of checkers that its profundity if to the lay mind an unreality— a kind of harmless fiction. to the student the wonders of the board are astonishing realities.

youtube.com/watch?v=v_J_PI_vIzc how a pair of pants swayed the folks at Fed to raise interest rates and goose stocks. a solution to climate change, what should be your stopping rule, the influence of luck. the wisdom of Odysseus, arousal of cuome, woke cubed to fan service rates. 

 

Mar

17

Tune in to blog for relation of birds to market, arousal, eating their own, contagious of me too, Brooklyn college losing 85 to -3 to Notra Dame.

Unsolicited guidance for Elon Musk. Follow the blazing path of the Palindrome, the fang founders, the Sage, - be more progressive in your statements, shout out for me service duties on the wealthy. Hank Reardon was destroyed.

I do like a man like Mr. ag trader who tells you right out what's going to happen. don't we all. And the man that's telling the truth when he says he is not, I distrust most of all because that's going contrary to the laws of nature. said the fat man.

The fed is in a pair of pants now. they want to help the progressives along to raise taxes on the above average. so if they knock interest rates down again they can make the case that they better not tighten money or reserve rules or threaten not to buy all the debt.

From innumerable stimulus bills. all rite they want to help the current admin along by increasing interest rates to an unsustainable level( like 3 of the long bond(.but if they do that , they have to make sure that the stocks don't go down 1200 big points like last. So they must change the language or the projections so that its' good for stocks and bad for bonds. What's the sports analogy of the situation the fed is in?

One thing for sure they can count on the bi-partisan congressional budget office to predict that raising taxes will reduce the deficit. you see since they cant use dynamic scoring if taxes were raised to 100% say from their current level of 50% ,they would score it as they would score it as a 500% increase in service revenues received over 5 year. thus no more deficit. if the CDC goes along and they're fellow travelers so that's for sure, they could eliminate all humans from getting out of bed in morning and stay there. with no activity. Not only would the deficit go to zero, but the climate would get colder and carbon emissions would be lower. of course I am very woke because the more it's woke the better for stock market and most of my much needed wealth since I am retired is in the stock market held back the announcement (I think based on a little bird who knows) to sink the former prez.

Proverb of day from Tom Wiswell : no victory depends on chance; instead, skill, science, and study are the winning watch words.

Mar

15

Guaranteed to happen : the "non-partisan" committee will calculate that a wealth tax on those with wealth above 1million will generate 2 trillion in extra taxes in 5 years provided anyone who reduces wealth goes to jail. dynamic scoring will not be allowed.

Mr. Sogi do you take your Kona coffee with milk, sugar, or ice cream for a celebration.

Art disguiser in our chess games when I took four minutes to think after getting myself into an unfathomable , and untenable position would shake his head and say " now you're thinking ?!!!" 

I hasten to add that I could never give Art a god game. I never became a decent chess player. I took the game and lessons up when the Palindrome asked ordered me to play a game. the Palindrome once beat Art in a game. Nigel Davies toyed with Art who by that time was in 70's

In my defense I am a mediocre checker payer and took lessons for 25 years weekly from the great Tom Wiswell. 

Art won the national Jr. national open and National senior championships and beat Reshefsky a few times.

I arranged for Art to teach chess to the Palindrome and his family, but the Palindrome called a halt to it as Art was self taught and had no system although he could annotate the history of any men going back t the 19th century.

Free associations Hand size as a door opener with young high heeled blonds with dress: no dynamic scoring allowed in "non-partisan congressional budget office– importance of break thru to new high and fast conquering of 50's level for SP and Bitcoin. remember you cant.

You cant have breakfast all day . and the Sogi level can bed a magnet both ways. anyway Kona coffee all around. new all time high for SP after 30 days of waiting.

youtube.com/watch?v=Vq4ftBaRuwY you cant have breakfast all day at 26: 54 second into performance.

Mar

15

Grocery store workers are working, meat packers are working, hell bars and restaurants are open in many (cont) http://tl.gd/n_1srkchr is max interruptus bull or bear. Sennett victor blog will have answer today as well as non-overlapping expectations for key markets wen in habitat or Nas down and SP up.

One can imagine the delays that would have been visited on the vaccines if the CDC, and FDA had their way before " early Nov" guaranteed to happen: dr. cattle says that climate change will create more pandemics. 2the Fed twins will call for more stimulus. 3 the irascible governor will be given 100 times more latitude than one who was not poster boy for anti-former. 4. sec. defense diversity. While were at it, what to expect from the fed vis ai vis serial correlation on on 5 pm. march 15 pod.

Guaranteed to happen : the "non-partisan" committee will calculate that a wealth tax on those with wealth above 1million will generate 2 trillion in extra taxes in 5 years provided anyone who reduces wealth goes to jail. dynamic scoring will not be allowed.

Mar

15

Interesting to see relative performance of SP and Nas with no overlap when both diverge over last 60 day, i.e. when one is up and the other down, how does it compete to random days in last 12 years.

I am very fortunate when algorithms aren't taking followers away because of their incorrect calculation that I am not progressive enough, I am greeted by advertisements for specials offers to buy NY times and offers to buy dairy queen chickens bites, that is shot across bow.

Go to office of handicapper general for punishment https://youtube.com/watch?v=T-4LZj_jGEE to immerse yourself in Berkshire and NY times advertisements.

Proverb of the day from Tom Wiswell " some players never fall for the same trap twice. they are very good at finding new ways to lose. ( shout out to former President, and director of woke on algorithm).

Mar

12

back to new 1yr low for bonds' at 15794 basis March.

Defense dept. fires shot across the bow at news media. maintains steadfast defense of capitol with more force than in Afghanistan.. bonds at new low. very woke very bull.

Dr. cattle lobs critique 

The calm before the storm Monday 

Shocking prediction https://youtube.com/watch?v=T-4LZj_jGEE when SP up and Nasdaq down over last 60 days? when bonds ware at new 6o day low is SP bear? hey all American from Martin Niederhoffer to coach Irons at Brooklyn college. Slow steady rise doesn't force bear out the frog.

Mar

12

Good movie on video , Kurt Vonnegot, the more you lose in sales, the more I give you of other peoples money. lesson on difference between sales and profits appropriate.

Keys to game. 1 will the SP break old high of 3954 set on 2 -15 -2021.

The more woke the more bull… suppression of impairment, forgiveness for certain farmers,, steady beat of the relentless rise to new highs, long time between drinks, money to certain groups , banning of right to work.

Finally the tech assuming their rightful lead over old faithful's . a la mode de rigeur, the way woke world should be.

The number of susceptible, those not already vaccinated to woke is keeps getting smaller. will there be enough to bring the SP to new high or will the market succumb to the English disease. 

Very thoughtful and valuable discussion of checker playing and proverbs on last two videos of Sennetttniederhoffer .

Mar

10

247 million false entries memorialized on big platform for Prez. 45- 69 million false entries memorialize for Prez 44. Luv Governor mentions before 25 and after 45 shows similar bull bias.

Advice from two greats: if you want to be creative "Walk " preferably in the woods or forest. Beethoven and Brahms waked an average of 4 hours a day in Vienna woods. school boys used to think Beethoven was madman as they met him murmuring and gesticulating on their way. The school boys met him going to school and the coming back from school. he yelled and howled as he was thinking of music because he was deaf.

"A spike and channel bear trend" https://investing.com/analysis/emini-big-reversals-in-middle-of-3week-trading-range-200566012 there's hope for counters as long as wsj espouses — 

Mar

9

"Caught my attention " , tightening, ' go big ", 350 billon Argentina, 15 weeks paid leave.

What could be more woke https://federalreserve.gov/foia/files/chair-yellen-calendar-062014.pdf camp kinderland " go big ".

Mar

8

Rates  return graph of the triumphal trio yet but every since  their work appeared in 1997 which I first popularize dand reviewed  they have  been presenting work  that  pushed the expected return down by 5% or so a ear. I call  it the English disease. I have  tried to counter this  but they always have a new argument. they are like shiller in that content. I am not as facile now as I was 20 years ago, but I will find  time and they ability to understand their real return graph and then will  serif it part of the  English disease. However,  no one has more respect for the  triumphal  trio than I . 

Mar

8

I'll take a red sandwich on green. " life is tooo short to wake up in the morning with regrets".

This will go down with " baker did it" in the annals of disintegration. " the former president did it " 

Mar

8

K SUBSCRIBER, 6 minutes ago
These guys are clueless. No inflation?? Slack labor market???
Visit the world of manufacturing, with chronic shortages of everything, including skilled labor, and prices on everything going up 5-30%
Likethumb_up3 a very sagacious wsj reader.

I feel much secure with the thousands of national guard guarding the capital. it makes me doubly happy that there will be a stimulus bill. let us hope the statisticians return from camp kinder so that they can put the final touches on the need for employment.

The most bullish thing is the revulsion that thinking people will feel towards a certain letter to the wsj blaming others for the plight we are in now. this will love a significant number of voters who are needed to reverse the turn to agrarianism.

youtube.com/watch?v=2iqqAIZpp2c protection from the putative takeover of the capital by the Guard.

The market is content with breaking on constructal level and one Sogi and flirts with second Sogi only to demur for some Kona coffee.

We let it all hang out. Japanese love hotels, big minima, forcing the weak out , total 8% move today better than entire move for year. all the woke things that fostered market along.

Mar

8

Nikkei refuses to stay below 29000.

Hello Mr. Sogi, perhaps we will meet in virtual Japan.

Free association https://google.com/search?q=camp+kinderland&rlz=1C1CHBF_enUS920US920&oq=camp+kinderland&aqs=chrome..

69i57j46i175i199i275j35i39l2j0l3j0i22i30l3.20819j0j4&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8 the bls, ,weak hiring, Texas - Missouri ,plot that endangers capital and guard, not eating. 

Hello Mr. Sogi waves had a undertow. only 2 down to 1 am and 1o up after a bad previous day before employ I forgot to say that everything depends on the Nikkei. ca they keep the support as they did yesterday before capitulating Nikkei low is 28300.

Key to the game 1. the Japanese lose face by allowing the Nikkei to stay below 29000. 2. will the people at a certain bureau put the final touché on the number to insure that the stimulus bill is imperative especially planned parenthood and the relief for gov workers. Gov workers with children going to school online. Should they receive paid staycation for life like deserving farmers of color

Mar

8

Finally the chance gardener and fellow camp kinderland begin to realize at the 159 handle for bonds that something is not rite. at least it wont hurt the stimulus . that's the game I think.

Mar

2

https://jameslindlibrary.org/articles/charles-frederick-fred-mosteller-1916-2006/ attribute to a great m an and teacher. who had interests in poker, chess, magic, and folk dancing. the consummate teacher. a humble man. my thesis adviser. His autobiography the pleasure of statistics. His autobiography https://amazon.com/Pleasures-Statistics-Autobiography-Frederick-Mosteller/dp/0387779558 so many good people , so many memories, always ran through lectures a for 2 hours before giving them. was chairman of 4 Harvard faculty schools, started out in social relations with Talcott parsons. wrote many papers on runs.

Lessons from sports statistics: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/254330967_Lessons_from_Sports_Statistics 

goodreads.com/book/show/413617.Good_Bye_Mr_Chips a English counterpart without the 555 contributions to research.

Mar

2

(Free associations) three strikes, " may I take the liberty ", governor, Dr. Seuss, earmarks, Nikkei down 330, bonds at161, diversity in boards, assistance from Dr wife, "the incorruptible" ,contagion . crude below $60.00, resolve of chance gardener for a day.

Feb

28

Statistics Question

February 28, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Barry  writes:

Hello Victor,

Hope all is well. I have been enjoying the YouTube videos you have been putting out.

I was wondering if the rules that apply to normal statistical tests should be as constrained when applied for financial data?

For example when comparing the mean returns of weeks following drops greater than 30% in something like bitcoin compared with it's weekly returns excluding those weeks if a tests value of 20% would be consistent with random as one might conclude with most other sciences or is that an indicator there could be something more meaningful to investigate?

Victor Niederhoffer writes:

Thats a very good question  and  related to it is the supposition that a 20% prob of chance occurrence  mite be more p reductive of  a regularity in the future than a 5%  chance  statistics    I'm posting your query to the spec list since it doesn't  contain any meals for a day but is a meal for a life time.

Feb

28

Tweets-Feb/28/2021

February 28, 2021 | Leave a Comment

The Sennett niederhoffer regularity will appear on our zoom pod at 12 noon Sunday est.

Here's a good reference to Zellner on simplicity https://amazon.com/Simplicity-Inference-Modelling-Sophisticatedly-University/dp/B0087INE3M as limned in the Sennett podcast.

The palindrome's philosophy was " what can you do for me tomorrow regardless of the past".

https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UC85UPcd0vziV3C8ShkRvfCA astonishing 5 day expectation, rasion deter for school closings, increased chances for stimulus bill, simplicity is setting up trades and backswings, preparations shout out to Jack Barnaby 1968.

Pres makes at least 2 references to running again in 2024. how non-woke. but bad for mega chances, thus good for market in long run. 

Savvitt game me lesson at century club and emphasized the continental grip but I think the most important part of video if loose swing, and they left out the torque leaning back.

Feb

28

Tweets-Feb/27/2021

February 28, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Looking at the 10year bond rates I see a roughly 1.5% yield and another 0.9% from rolling down the yield curve. Total carry ~2.4%
If you adjust that to match equity volatility you get multiplier of 2. So on vol/risk/duration adjusted basis bonds have 4.8% yield
Looking at 4.5%.
I see it stands at 4.5%. Bonds have become again an equity competitor. Perhaps this is the start of the move of tectonic plates a thoughtful post from a though person Mr. Theo.

Turns out there is a very significant and useful regularity for the first day of month. however, despite the strenuous and perhaps not appreciated efforts of Ms. Sennett and myself, very few people are viewing our pods relative to our efforts. thus, if Ms. Sennett will.

Contact me we will put up a very short special Sunday video and report the regularity on our podcast.

Desperate old lions fighting to hold off the young lions gradually making them obsolete.  The regularity is not obvious and I have not seen it elsewhere

Mr. Kennedy Fuld Jr. asks who is MR. Sogi? he is a man for all seasons who surfs and observes much about the gravitationally impact of 50's , and loves a good coffee among other things. he is interviewed in our videos.

Mr. Tdt aske me if I have been drinking. I never drink within weeks of trading because drinking like orgasms makes you too loose and too easy going to ascend the hard road to trading for a profit. 

Feb

26

Tweets-Feb/26/2021

February 26, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Hello Mr. Sogi I'm delighted that you're doing some evening surfing..is their disconsolate or hope among your colleagues in Japan?

An ecological fact. " mosquitos have amplifiers on them".

The NEW Rotisserie-style Chicken Bites are perfect alone or any way you want to eat them. Finally, unbreaded, tender, juicy chicken that doesn’t need anything else to stand out. #HappyTastesGood

 

470.3 the new ads of the sages firm, not as "humorous" as Geiogo ads.

"At least we were able to press stocks back up and out supporters are coming back " heard with eggs benedict as former chairman shook their heads/ "" but unless we get the bonds above 16000, well look bad".

google.com/search?q=zillow+stock+price&oq=zillow+stock+price&aqs=chrome..69i57j0i20i131i263i433j0l8.16159j1j4&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8 great move to buy homes direct and price action good but not enough diversity.

Feb

26

Tweets-Feb/24/2021

February 26, 2021 | Leave a Comment

A note passed to chance gardener before hearings., somethings not rite? you cant just support the them. "Show them your force" captain Aubrey.

What tom would whisper to chance gardener " we're in over our head . better simplify. "" interrupt eggs benedict breakfast with woke counterpart? 

Professor Biden can you catch a basketball with chop sticks? The professor matriculated at mit hoping to play on the basketball team. but he couldn't afford the price of sneakers and mit policy prohibited any financial aid to athletes.

Bonds creeping up from 16000 handle, lunch interrupted in fed dining hall? A visit with Pres adviser? what will happen to all the earmarks and pork in stimulus bill? The more woke the more bull.

One can pretend to see all and be pleased that bonds are back in 16000 handle proving that a man who doesn't know gnp for the last quarter and has no training in e economics can not jolly bonds to ever higher levels by emphasizing that the stimulus is needed. 

Recall that on a one day binary forecast the red days are most bull for Sp ( as documented on Tues feb23 video apologies for the tec glitches on Feb 24 video but what was said about frog and constructal numbers and Japanese resilience is timeless despite my lapses. 

Feb

24

Tweets-Feb/23/2021

February 24, 2021 | Leave a Comment

There stands Mr. Sogi teetering amid the waves will the Nikke tide be helpful?

The Japanese never give up. the bull market remains intact.

Helllo Dr. bejan. have the yellowed you to see any basketball lately. 

After 3 bad years in early 2000's QQQ outperformed SPY by a large amount. this chart is referred to in our video giving up dates of performance of best stocks versus worst. growth wins out. good thing to do is to replace spider with qqq I think 

Welcome back to Dr Castaldo from Italy after 5 months with his parents. the chart and data is his handiwork.  

youtube.com/watch?v=acVLNQG_YVo Nikkei never surrender, Nasdaq versus spider.

Insights into startling offensive behavior, gestalt psychology, the Nikkei never surrendering a 30000, growth versus value over 20 years, very woke day good for market, and prediction as to when 39000 will be breached.

Must have been some heavy broker would have liquidated you when margin reduced to 3000.. but never complain you would have had 2 minutes to get a bank wire to them at 940.

Feb

24

Tweets-Feb/22/2021

February 24, 2021 | Leave a Comment

youtube.com/watch?v=PmIh7JtzaYM the trickster.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=w8uL-lxVpwE&feature=youtu.be 

Video contains constructal sig of Nikkei, binary splits predicting SP next day, results of buying the best, shout out to everchanging cycles, predictions meals for lifetime.

In their quiet and respectful way, Nikkei refuses to sink below 30000. also a lagniappe the absurdity of sheller analysis, no interest rates, 10 years  moving averages as absurd predictor of current earnings, part hole correlations, always bearish non wonder won the prize.

Feb

21

Tweets-Feb/21/2021

February 21, 2021 | Leave a Comment

A good read for publics stranded in last year's habitats.

coreknowledge.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/CKSci_G3_U3_Habitats-and-Change_SR.pdf 

It is distressing to have a 2007 article posted when I wouldn't and couldn't talk to the author because of positions. I held that would have been fodder for the adversaries. I have learned my lessons in 1997 and not sold put since because of the conspiracies among the 2 or three market markers and their control of the margins required and the high bid ask spreads I of 100% or so in getting out of positions before expiration my injunction never short anything has deep resilience. I try to maintain a dignified and helpful posting and it is unfortunate to be greeted by miscreants who bear a grievance against me.

The older we get, the thinner the skin around the privates. However, I suffered a stroke 3 years ago, and my ability to play, piano, racket sports and type is grossly and egregiously curtailed.

It's good to know that I have so many friends on this list. I try. I would recommend that all look at daily speculations com for some fine work on the buying the best companies. It's all on the spec list. To get on spec list send me request with your email.

Feb

21

Tweets-Feb/20/2021

February 21, 2021 | Leave a Comment

I will offer a prize money of $1500 to the best study of the performance of buying the best performing individual stocks in a period. Do take account of survivor bias. I make the same offer to the spec list bu gramercy keeps preventing me from sending it.

Feb

21

Tweets-Feb/19/2021

February 21, 2021 | Leave a Comment

As octopus as sentient s humans mite be worthwhile to consider reducing consumption of octopus.

Feb

21

Tweets-Feb/18/2021

February 21, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Round numbers beached from upside. Nikkei 30000 , SP3900… will the non-quarterly expiration breach numbers from downside? NY numbers guess yes.

studio.youtube.com/video/lu9ij58S3wU/edit meals for a life time in this. buying momentum, in individual stocks, bitcoin breaking thru , deception galora in opens, the octopus as master of deception, importance of constructal numbers at all.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=Wos8kouz810 better to study this for market insights than 90% of market books.

Feb

21

Tweets-Feb/17/2021

February 21, 2021 | Leave a Comment

The top trophic levels against new and existing entrants to lowest, level "The coordinated effort by Wall Street, the media, and Big Tech to crash meme stocks’ meteoric rise is just one of many that "make pubic lose so much more than they have rite to lose" zero hedge.

 https://youtube.com/watch?v=92nG8EfzsVI Nadal loses to wristy opponent. How not to play tennis for both.

How not to trade with wristy trades like tsitsipas shots. Sporadic rises like tsisspiw.

Feb

16

Tweets-Feb/16/2021

February 16, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Bitcoin having breached the Sogi level of 50000 , and Nikkei breaching 30000 , everything in consilience. my bearish forecast established at 3952.50 become less unlikely.

Guaranteed to happy. the more an area prospers the greater the hammer to reduce pursuit of happiness. 

Wolfies delicates. significance covered in Sennett Niederhoffer podcast today at 530pm est today.

Guaranteed to happen white shoe firm offers its expertise to 8 million new investors as regulatory agencies investigate the ephemeral profits before buying banned.

The way I heard it. ruby and grandparents move form Katz to Wolfies in winter. 

Feb

15

Last Train

February 15, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Victor Niederhoffer writes:

To paradise: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=henry+flagler+last+train+to+paradise&crid=2K4P028N815Z3&sprefix=

train+to+paradise+henry%2Caps%2C166&ref=nb_sb_ss_ts-doa-p_1_23   tells the story of a great adventures and benefactor of  Florida and the country  written in 20002 without the cancel  culture exerting too much of these influence. highly regomme3nde and inspiring as to what an man of integrity and the books  should aspire to.

Jeffery Watson writes:

That book is a must read for anyone who loves the history of Florida. 

Tim Melvin writes:

The authors fiction books set in Florida are also outstanding reads.

Feb

15

Tweets-Feb/15/2021

February 15, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Many construtal goals achieved today Nikkei 30000, crude 60000, bonds 16500 - /

I'll take the plunge and reduce all my longs to 0%.. also a sogi at 3950, only waiting for bitcoins 50000 to complete harmonization. but you cant have everything SP up about 10 days in row.

Mr Ag trades notes that I've achieved more follower today than in the past 2 years combined.. " why" algo must have finally seen my repeated posts " the more woke we were the more bullish it is".

even Jim Lorie once closed out his longs in early 1987. He sold at 320 sp.. he held not long until SP 450 until October 19/1987 then when baker did it and SP swooned to 320 again he covered his shorts alngnd vowed never to remain less than 200%.

Back lash against Florida to ban travel so as not to let certain states of another color look bad. Reminds me of Hobo keeley said " I should pay him to be around me because he's the only person that makes me look good in comparison.

Grandfather's martin's working as Irving berlin's accountant before trading with the boy wonder as I hold shorts.

Feb

15

Three Point

February 15, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Victor Niederhoffer writes:

Phil Musia in the post has an article about  how the three point shot which has gone up to 80 per game from 20 years ago is ruining the basketball game.  What aspects of markets have changed for the worse in the last 20 years? 

Penny Brown writes:

What's worse?  The abandonment of the up tick rule for shoring.

Feb

15

Tweets-Feb/13/2021

February 15, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Nobody aske me but there is more and more buzz about interest rates going up . expect the 165 handle on Monday.

Example of Florida and its heroes receiving "short stick " these days https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henry_Flagler 

One is calling for a substantial decline in sp starting in a few days. what would be a good place to maintains assets in for the duration rather than shorting sp which is ruinous, deathly, and against the drift.

Nobody asked me but sessile predators ,( carnivores e.g) get more prey per effort t than mobile predators. would the same apply to markets?

Cattle trader who is usually right on point calls for a crash?? that's very dangerous and ruinous. so many I know have called for same and ended in the hoosegow. Be very careful with a exact non-delphic prediction like that. 

2 thins. Please remember not to send me things that could be construed as non- woke. like the shout that Florida mentons are becoming increasingly woke. 2 what is Mr. Wallon lately my most sensible followed.

 

Feb

15

Tweets-Feb/12/2021

February 15, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Slowly but surely the bonds set one 6 month minimum after another ( not without giving longs in bonds some hope).

The showboating and wasted energy and distractions with the antis of Kyrgios was the cause of the loss to them. Its a good model for what not to do with your trades. slow but steady and not boasting is the key. 

keep looking »

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