The problem with most of the polling is that it is done nationally. I argue that my own opinion does not matter as I vote in New Jersey. Stefan's opinion in a poll also does not matter if he votes in California. Both California and New Jersey are blue states and the opinion of anyone polled in those states is a curiosity only. Oklahoma and Texas are solid red states and their voters' opinions are equally valueless. Those opinions would be of value if and only if they reflected a national mood, which is doubtful. Thus the only polls that would seemingly matter are those which concentrated on the swing states: Florida, Ohio, Iowa to name a few. I have only seen one such poll (about a month ago) which did exactly that.


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