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Dec

23

An Idea, from Victor Niederhoffer

December 23, 2010 |

I propose as one measure of trend, the number of runs of exactly x or more y day changes up or down in a market.                                                      

For example:

exactly                          # of times 10 day sp change up                                                  

1                                                  220                                                                      

2                                                 153                                                                      

3                                                 132                                                                      

4                                                 109                                                                      

5                                                 101                                                                      

6                                                  91                                                                      

7                                                  85                                                                      

8                                                  80                                                                    

9                                                  76                                                                    

10                                                71                                                                      

11                                                56!!!                                                                  

12                                                48                                                                    

13 or more                                  398                                                                        

A 10 day change is up if today's close is higher than the close 10 days ago.


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