News from NYC

July 22, 2020 |

Susan Niederhoffer writes: 

from a facebook friend recovering from cancer and now in NYC:

Out and about. My walk home from Lymphedema Treatment (excellent therapist by the by) before jumping into a taxi with a 70 year old driver from Cairo (who after 31 years is returning to Egypt because of the current situation here).

I must say on my leisurely walk home I began to have very bad feelings about the city. With all the many many businesses and restaurants who have not re-opened and who knows if they ever will again, the front of their stores and the city sidewalks are embarrassingly dirty. Why doesn't DeBlasio employ people to clean/sanitize the streets! He'd be accomplishing several things: employ people, keep us safe & pick up spirits. I feel violence in the air. So many people have been out of work too long, are now being evicted and are/will become desperate.

I'm very afraid for my city. It doesn't look good. On a personal note, I'm leaving just in time. This is not the place to be in the coming future.

Hernan Avella writes:

This is good, the old and feeble should leave, rents and housing come down, a new crop of rascals occupy and the wheels of commerce keep turning

Ralph Vince writes:

Who who in their right mind is going to return to that City? clearly the first thing that needs to be cleaned up there is leadership.

in the meantime the wheels of commerce can continue in New York City… The way it stands Hernan is right…the wheels of commerce in midtown for check cashing joints, pawn shops, convenience stores, liquor stores. How about Lotto? That sets you up is our world finance hub doesn't it? How about some girly joints in midtown when that be infinitely better than the boarded-up barbed wire dump that it is now? 42nd Street would be a good place for used car lot tear down what they're putting up at 42nd and Vanderbilt I've long thought a used car lot belongs on 42nd Street. I'm going to barbecue joint on 5th avenue? 

And if New York needs a model I'll go take some pictures of Cleveland 40 years after Dennis kucinich, it would be like peering into the future. We can turn the Bloomberg complex into a Goodwill supercenter!

hgiffford writes:

Those Detroit are said to be fearful because the first generation of Americans who don't care about owning a car, and who would just as soon not own a car, are sitting in cafes typing on their laptops all of the US now.

However, there is one city in the US where it is easy to live without a car

Ralph Vince writes:

What happened in NYC is egregious in an "off the meter" sense; I don;t recall ever, in the history of the City, such an event transpiring, or implicitly invited by leadership there.

This is not a "big, scary prediction." There are other factors in play now, bigger than the abdication of protection of the city,  that conspire to make the uphill grind for NYC greater than before. There is a giant human migration out of many locales, NYC being one of them, where the confluence of a number of factors, e.g., greater remote work, etc.,further promote individuals and corporate citizens out of the City in search of greener pastures in smaller metro areas. The scale of this is hard to measure this early, it seems something whose time has come but needed the events of recent months,  and it doesn't play in favor of the City recovering any time soon. As I said,I for one will not return until some semblance of sanity in leadership returns, and proves itself out. Many others I correspond with feel similarly. Nothing changes while nothing changes.

I am not a charlatan of sorts, as you seem to imply. I do my homework - more than anyone else I know.  I stand by what I "predict," and I put my own money on it.

Adam Friedman replies:

I don't think you're a charlatan at all. I know you've been successful putting your money where your work/mouth is over the years. That deserves respect.

It just appears over the last few months each missive from you has a more exclamatory and outlandish prediction than the last– whether it be about markets or the now eternal damnation of NYC. It appears to be self-inflicted confirmation bias that runs deep.

Nothing from this side is a comment about how hard you work, the quality of your work, or your track record. 


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