Feb

28

Statistics Question

February 28, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Barry  writes:

Hello Victor,

Hope all is well. I have been enjoying the YouTube videos you have been putting out.

I was wondering if the rules that apply to normal statistical tests should be as constrained when applied for financial data?

For example when comparing the mean returns of weeks following drops greater than 30% in something like bitcoin compared with it's weekly returns excluding those weeks if a tests value of 20% would be consistent with random as one might conclude with most other sciences or is that an indicator there could be something more meaningful to investigate?

Victor Niederhoffer writes:

Thats a very good question  and  related to it is the supposition that a 20% prob of chance occurrence  mite be more p reductive of  a regularity in the future than a 5%  chance  statistics    I'm posting your query to the spec list since it doesn't  contain any meals for a day but is a meal for a life time.

Feb

28

Fed Model

February 28, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Looking at the 10year bond rates I see a roughly 1.5% yield and another 0.9% from rolling down the yield curve. Total carry ~2.4%

If you adjust that to match equity volatility you get multiplier of 2. So on vol/risk/duration adjusted basis bonds have 4.8% yield
Looking at the sp500 fwd earnings yield I see it stands at 4.5%
Bonds have become again an equity competitor
Perhaps this is the start of the move of tectonic plates

Feb

28

Tweets-Feb/28/2021

February 28, 2021 | Leave a Comment

The Sennett niederhoffer regularity will appear on our zoom pod at 12 noon Sunday est.

Here's a good reference to Zellner on simplicity https://amazon.com/Simplicity-Inference-Modelling-Sophisticatedly-University/dp/B0087INE3M as limned in the Sennett podcast.

The palindrome's philosophy was " what can you do for me tomorrow regardless of the past".

https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UC85UPcd0vziV3C8ShkRvfCA astonishing 5 day expectation, rasion deter for school closings, increased chances for stimulus bill, simplicity is setting up trades and backswings, preparations shout out to Jack Barnaby 1968.

Pres makes at least 2 references to running again in 2024. how non-woke. but bad for mega chances, thus good for market in long run. 

Savvitt game me lesson at century club and emphasized the continental grip but I think the most important part of video if loose swing, and they left out the torque leaning back.

Feb

28

Tweets-Feb/27/2021

February 28, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Looking at the 10year bond rates I see a roughly 1.5% yield and another 0.9% from rolling down the yield curve. Total carry ~2.4%
If you adjust that to match equity volatility you get multiplier of 2. So on vol/risk/duration adjusted basis bonds have 4.8% yield
Looking at 4.5%.
I see it stands at 4.5%. Bonds have become again an equity competitor. Perhaps this is the start of the move of tectonic plates a thoughtful post from a though person Mr. Theo.

Turns out there is a very significant and useful regularity for the first day of month. however, despite the strenuous and perhaps not appreciated efforts of Ms. Sennett and myself, very few people are viewing our pods relative to our efforts. thus, if Ms. Sennett will.

Contact me we will put up a very short special Sunday video and report the regularity on our podcast.

Desperate old lions fighting to hold off the young lions gradually making them obsolete.  The regularity is not obvious and I have not seen it elsewhere

Mr. Kennedy Fuld Jr. asks who is MR. Sogi? he is a man for all seasons who surfs and observes much about the gravitationally impact of 50's , and loves a good coffee among other things. he is interviewed in our videos.

Mr. Tdt aske me if I have been drinking. I never drink within weeks of trading because drinking like orgasms makes you too loose and too easy going to ascend the hard road to trading for a profit. 

Feb

26

Tweets-Feb/26/2021

February 26, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Hello Mr. Sogi I'm delighted that you're doing some evening surfing..is their disconsolate or hope among your colleagues in Japan?

An ecological fact. " mosquitos have amplifiers on them".

The NEW Rotisserie-style Chicken Bites are perfect alone or any way you want to eat them. Finally, unbreaded, tender, juicy chicken that doesn’t need anything else to stand out. #HappyTastesGood

 

470.3 the new ads of the sages firm, not as "humorous" as Geiogo ads.

"At least we were able to press stocks back up and out supporters are coming back " heard with eggs benedict as former chairman shook their heads/ "" but unless we get the bonds above 16000, well look bad".

google.com/search?q=zillow+stock+price&oq=zillow+stock+price&aqs=chrome..69i57j0i20i131i263i433j0l8.16159j1j4&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8 great move to buy homes direct and price action good but not enough diversity.

Feb

26

Tweets-Feb/24/2021

February 26, 2021 | Leave a Comment

A note passed to chance gardener before hearings., somethings not rite? you cant just support the them. "Show them your force" captain Aubrey.

What tom would whisper to chance gardener " we're in over our head . better simplify. "" interrupt eggs benedict breakfast with woke counterpart? 

Professor Biden can you catch a basketball with chop sticks? The professor matriculated at mit hoping to play on the basketball team. but he couldn't afford the price of sneakers and mit policy prohibited any financial aid to athletes.

Bonds creeping up from 16000 handle, lunch interrupted in fed dining hall? A visit with Pres adviser? what will happen to all the earmarks and pork in stimulus bill? The more woke the more bull.

One can pretend to see all and be pleased that bonds are back in 16000 handle proving that a man who doesn't know gnp for the last quarter and has no training in e economics can not jolly bonds to ever higher levels by emphasizing that the stimulus is needed. 

Recall that on a one day binary forecast the red days are most bull for Sp ( as documented on Tues feb23 video apologies for the tec glitches on Feb 24 video but what was said about frog and constructal numbers and Japanese resilience is timeless despite my lapses. 

Feb

24

Tweets-Feb/23/2021

February 24, 2021 | Leave a Comment

There stands Mr. Sogi teetering amid the waves will the Nikke tide be helpful?

The Japanese never give up. the bull market remains intact.

Helllo Dr. bejan. have the yellowed you to see any basketball lately. 

After 3 bad years in early 2000's QQQ outperformed SPY by a large amount. this chart is referred to in our video giving up dates of performance of best stocks versus worst. growth wins out. good thing to do is to replace spider with qqq I think 

Welcome back to Dr Castaldo from Italy after 5 months with his parents. the chart and data is his handiwork.  

youtube.com/watch?v=acVLNQG_YVo Nikkei never surrender, Nasdaq versus spider.

Insights into startling offensive behavior, gestalt psychology, the Nikkei never surrendering a 30000, growth versus value over 20 years, very woke day good for market, and prediction as to when 39000 will be breached.

Must have been some heavy broker would have liquidated you when margin reduced to 3000.. but never complain you would have had 2 minutes to get a bank wire to them at 940.

Feb

24

Tweets-Feb/22/2021

February 24, 2021 | Leave a Comment

youtube.com/watch?v=PmIh7JtzaYM the trickster.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=w8uL-lxVpwE&feature=youtu.be 

Video contains constructal sig of Nikkei, binary splits predicting SP next day, results of buying the best, shout out to everchanging cycles, predictions meals for lifetime.

In their quiet and respectful way, Nikkei refuses to sink below 30000. also a lagniappe the absurdity of sheller analysis, no interest rates, 10 years  moving averages as absurd predictor of current earnings, part hole correlations, always bearish non wonder won the prize.

Feb

21

what is a Recent

February 21, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Big AI writes:

from 2005 (may have been posted already):

Does Trend Following Work on Stocks?

Cole Wilcox, Managing Partner Director of Research & Trading Blackstar 

Funds, LLC

Eric Crittenden, Blackstar Funds, LLC

https://www.cis.upenn.edu/~mkearns/finread/trend.pdf

Over the years many commodity trading advisors, proprietary traders,

and global macro hedge funds have successfully applied various trend

following methods to profitably trade in global futures markets. Very

little research, however, has been published regarding trend following

strategies applied to stocks. Is it reasonable to assume that trend

following works on futures but not stocks? We decided to put a long

only trend following strategy to the test by running it against a

comprehensive database of U.S. stocks that have been adjusted for

corporate actions. Delisted companies were included to account for

survivorship bias. Realistic transaction cost estimates (slippage &

commission) were applied. Liquidity filters were used to limit

hypothetical trading to only stocks that would have been liquid enough

to trade, at the time of the trade. Coverage included 24,000+

securities spanning 22 years. The empirical results strongly suggest

that trend following on stocks does offer a positive mathematical

expectancy, an essential building block of an effective investing or

trading system.

Jared Albert  writes:

This is obviously the hardest(or most expensive) part of a study like this:

<<<Data Integrity Data Coverage The database used included 24,000+ individual securities from the NYSE, AMEX & NASDAQ exchanges. Coverage spanned from January-1983 to December-2004. 

Survivorship bias The database used for this project included historical data for all stocks that were delisted at some point between 1983 and 2004. Slightly more than half of the database is comprised of delisted stocks. 

Corporate actions All stock prices were proportionately back adjusted for corporate actions, including cash dividends, splits, mergers, spin-offs, stock dividends, reverse splits, etc. Realistic investable universe A minimum stock price filter was used to avoid penny stocks7 . 

A minimum daily liquidity filter was used to avoid stocks that would not have been liquid enough to generate realistic historical results from. Both filters were evaluated for every stock and for every day of history in the database, mimicking how results would have appeared in real time.>>>

The data vendor they used has these prices listed:

PowerST will run on any Windows computer.

Cost:

The cost of PowerST is:

Initial Purchase: $25,000

Monthly Maintenance: $1,000

Calculation Engine Source Code: $100,000

Does anyone know of an economical source for at least merger and delisted data is accounted for:)?

This site has delisted symbols so long as they are not reused ex:http://www.eoddata.com/StockQuote/NYSE/LEH.htm 

Feb

21

Tweets-Feb/21/2021

February 21, 2021 | Leave a Comment

A good read for publics stranded in last year's habitats.

coreknowledge.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/CKSci_G3_U3_Habitats-and-Change_SR.pdf 

It is distressing to have a 2007 article posted when I wouldn't and couldn't talk to the author because of positions. I held that would have been fodder for the adversaries. I have learned my lessons in 1997 and not sold put since because of the conspiracies among the 2 or three market markers and their control of the margins required and the high bid ask spreads I of 100% or so in getting out of positions before expiration my injunction never short anything has deep resilience. I try to maintain a dignified and helpful posting and it is unfortunate to be greeted by miscreants who bear a grievance against me.

The older we get, the thinner the skin around the privates. However, I suffered a stroke 3 years ago, and my ability to play, piano, racket sports and type is grossly and egregiously curtailed.

It's good to know that I have so many friends on this list. I try. I would recommend that all look at daily speculations com for some fine work on the buying the best companies. It's all on the spec list. To get on spec list send me request with your email.

Feb

21

Tweets-Feb/20/2021

February 21, 2021 | Leave a Comment

I will offer a prize money of $1500 to the best study of the performance of buying the best performing individual stocks in a period. Do take account of survivor bias. I make the same offer to the spec list bu gramercy keeps preventing me from sending it.

Feb

21

Tweets-Feb/19/2021

February 21, 2021 | Leave a Comment

As octopus as sentient s humans mite be worthwhile to consider reducing consumption of octopus.

Feb

21

Tweets-Feb/18/2021

February 21, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Round numbers beached from upside. Nikkei 30000 , SP3900… will the non-quarterly expiration breach numbers from downside? NY numbers guess yes.

studio.youtube.com/video/lu9ij58S3wU/edit meals for a life time in this. buying momentum, in individual stocks, bitcoin breaking thru , deception galora in opens, the octopus as master of deception, importance of constructal numbers at all.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=Wos8kouz810 better to study this for market insights than 90% of market books.

Feb

21

Tweets-Feb/17/2021

February 21, 2021 | Leave a Comment

The top trophic levels against new and existing entrants to lowest, level "The coordinated effort by Wall Street, the media, and Big Tech to crash meme stocks’ meteoric rise is just one of many that "make pubic lose so much more than they have rite to lose" zero hedge.

 https://youtube.com/watch?v=92nG8EfzsVI Nadal loses to wristy opponent. How not to play tennis for both.

How not to trade with wristy trades like tsitsipas shots. Sporadic rises like tsisspiw.

Feb

16

Tweets-Feb/16/2021

February 16, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Bitcoin having breached the Sogi level of 50000 , and Nikkei breaching 30000 , everything in consilience. my bearish forecast established at 3952.50 become less unlikely.

Guaranteed to happy. the more an area prospers the greater the hammer to reduce pursuit of happiness. 

Wolfies delicates. significance covered in Sennett Niederhoffer podcast today at 530pm est today.

Guaranteed to happen white shoe firm offers its expertise to 8 million new investors as regulatory agencies investigate the ephemeral profits before buying banned.

The way I heard it. ruby and grandparents move form Katz to Wolfies in winter. 

Feb

15

Last Train

February 15, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Victor Niederhoffer writes:

To paradise: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=henry+flagler+last+train+to+paradise&crid=2K4P028N815Z3&sprefix=

train+to+paradise+henry%2Caps%2C166&ref=nb_sb_ss_ts-doa-p_1_23   tells the story of a great adventures and benefactor of  Florida and the country  written in 20002 without the cancel  culture exerting too much of these influence. highly regomme3nde and inspiring as to what an man of integrity and the books  should aspire to.

Jeffery Watson writes:

That book is a must read for anyone who loves the history of Florida. 

Tim Melvin writes:

The authors fiction books set in Florida are also outstanding reads.

Feb

15

Tweets-Feb/15/2021

February 15, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Many construtal goals achieved today Nikkei 30000, crude 60000, bonds 16500 - /

I'll take the plunge and reduce all my longs to 0%.. also a sogi at 3950, only waiting for bitcoins 50000 to complete harmonization. but you cant have everything SP up about 10 days in row.

Mr Ag trades notes that I've achieved more follower today than in the past 2 years combined.. " why" algo must have finally seen my repeated posts " the more woke we were the more bullish it is".

even Jim Lorie once closed out his longs in early 1987. He sold at 320 sp.. he held not long until SP 450 until October 19/1987 then when baker did it and SP swooned to 320 again he covered his shorts alngnd vowed never to remain less than 200%.

Back lash against Florida to ban travel so as not to let certain states of another color look bad. Reminds me of Hobo keeley said " I should pay him to be around me because he's the only person that makes me look good in comparison.

Grandfather's martin's working as Irving berlin's accountant before trading with the boy wonder as I hold shorts.

Feb

15

Three Point

February 15, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Victor Niederhoffer writes:

Phil Musia in the post has an article about  how the three point shot which has gone up to 80 per game from 20 years ago is ruining the basketball game.  What aspects of markets have changed for the worse in the last 20 years? 

Penny Brown writes:

What's worse?  The abandonment of the up tick rule for shoring.

Feb

15

Tweets-Feb/13/2021

February 15, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Nobody aske me but there is more and more buzz about interest rates going up . expect the 165 handle on Monday.

Example of Florida and its heroes receiving "short stick " these days https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henry_Flagler 

One is calling for a substantial decline in sp starting in a few days. what would be a good place to maintains assets in for the duration rather than shorting sp which is ruinous, deathly, and against the drift.

Nobody asked me but sessile predators ,( carnivores e.g) get more prey per effort t than mobile predators. would the same apply to markets?

Cattle trader who is usually right on point calls for a crash?? that's very dangerous and ruinous. so many I know have called for same and ended in the hoosegow. Be very careful with a exact non-delphic prediction like that. 

2 thins. Please remember not to send me things that could be construed as non- woke. like the shout that Florida mentons are becoming increasingly woke. 2 what is Mr. Wallon lately my most sensible followed.

 

Feb

15

Tweets-Feb/12/2021

February 15, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Slowly but surely the bonds set one 6 month minimum after another ( not without giving longs in bonds some hope).

The showboating and wasted energy and distractions with the antis of Kyrgios was the cause of the loss to them. Its a good model for what not to do with your trades. slow but steady and not boasting is the key. 

Feb

11

Alex Castaldo writes:

what does dr burry mean by his btc mining tweet today

(20) Cassandra on Twitter: "70% of $BTC is mined in sanctioned countries, China, Iran, Russia. Crypto is in a race - add enough reputable agents of commerce to counter and overcome the inevitable coordinated actions of the ECB/BoJ/Fed/IMF/WorldBank-level powers-that-be to crush it. https://t.co/glYdmeTJ4g." / Twitter

70% of $BTC is mined in sanctioned countries, China, Iran, Russia. Crypto is in a race - add enough reputable agents of commerce to counter and overcome the inevitable coordinated actions of the ECB/BoJ/Fed/IMF/WorldBank-level powers-that-be to crush it. 

Pete Earle writes:

He's saying that BTC needs to grow its network and become a more compelling medium of exchange in order to survive the likely outcome of the governments and monetary authorities in China and Russia (Iran?) putting severe criminal penalties on its mining and usage. Meh. 

Does not follow that if mining were quashed in those countries other miners elsewhere wouldn't fill the gap, but it would be a bumpy ride and the price would almost definitely suffer. (There's also the remote chance that in the tumult that would follow miners going offline there could be a 51% attack.) But it strikes me that when an illicit enterprise becomes big enough (gambling, marijuana, etc.) governments would rather become privileged providers and gatekeepers than suppressors. 

Jayson Pifer writes:

Burry seems to be missing that cheap electricity wins.  It's not a matter of simply adding reputable agents when they will not be able to scale to compete with Chinese miners.  Not to mention that those sanctioned countries are incentivized to mine heavily and therefore keep the security of the network high.  I don't really see this changing.

I'm curious what sort of coordinated actions he supposes will be taken by the power-that-be.  For the foreseeable future it appears to be concurrent debasement of currencies to the benefit of cryptos.

I forget who on the list was running a mining operation, the information shared was valuable.  Perhaps we could get some recent insight.

Feb

11

Tweets-Feb/11/2021

February 11, 2021 | Leave a Comment

So far this month start out with a green ,then 4 yellows in a row. then green yellow green. Somehow SP gone up 8 days in a row.

You have to hand it to chance gardener. He's been consistently talking about how employment is a long way down from where it should be including before the election and yesterday.. so far I've seen no talk about replacing him. 

https://foxnews.com/us/fort-worth-texas-vehicle-freeway-crash-fatalities-injuries nobody asked me but all over we are getting reports of unusually cold climate conditions, never happened in fort worth"  Nobody asked me but the horde of new investors opened by Robin Hood and their ilk is a boo for the infra structure as they will pay inordinate bid asked spreads and concentrate their volume near the highs, and give shrewd brokers a chance to margin them into oblivion.

Nobody asked me but the so by some measures has gone up 8 days in a row that's neutral but for sure it has gone up 8 two days in a row. that  happened 8 times since 2011 . slightly neutral for the two day at the close of SP to be up it would have to close at 4pm est at 3909. I use the 415 as close.

Nobody aske me but in addition to foregoing notifying me of non-work things, readers should forego sending me things about global cooling as presumably the powers that be will punish all by taking away followed. I has lost most than 1000 followers in past 2 months.

Thank you as my venerable father used to say " I will be the healthiest person 6 feet under"

Bill was a great marital arts man practiced boxing every day, made more than 8000 arrests.( may have been a record) he would punch himself on head hard a nd then asked al the people I the bar whether they wished to go peacefully. And thus the selfish price end sup by 0.25 and stays within a 0.50 range from Monday close to Thursday close. I t induces many progeny to share it's price on the pod cast today i mistakenly said it was very bearish. However, it doesn't become very bearish until the 18th or 20th of this month. nothing now to stop the bull market. but near the end of February express according to the stats a tremendous decline.

Left out from your analysis is that  market tell the story of inflation. almost all markets from grains to livestock to  cattle to every stock market with the Nikei approaching 3000 and the us approaching 40000 are at all time high including crude at a 11  month high and up.

https://econlib.org/hume-hockey-sticks-and-the-great-forgetting/ article saying that inflation is danger without taking into account commodity prices.

I played a hard game of tennis doubles against George Schults and George Tigler. with Jim Lorie as my partner . they were both very fine gentleman and fine tennis players B+. they both were instrumental in my career as well. problem was that Jim had very bad eyesight and called a serve as Tigler's out which was clearly in. I dint want too correct Jim because it would have embarrassed him and both the George's vowed correctly never to play us again. I still regret my silence 60 years later.

Feb

11

Tweets-Feb/10/2021

February 11, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Amazingly japan didn't. and euro apparently japan so busy with Olympics that overnight attendance at love hotels was distracting. e.g.. they weren't privy to inflation number in advance that isn't cricket. by the way what was inflation number are they still disregarding current level of every commodity price?

Old hearted man's favorite indicator the ratio of crypto to stock market valuation is decreasing age's favorite indicator see daily speculations com have you tested that? 

dailyspeculations.com/Letter/songs%20of%20speculation.html correction ratio of QNP value to SP valuation. 

Better version https://youtube.com/results?search_query=stout+hearted+men+male+voice+choir 

Feb

11

Tweets-Feb/9/2021

February 11, 2021 | Leave a Comment

"I would like to get up and tell you that this nightmare is over, but here I am," after the match, v " I'm already on the ground, you shoot me. I ask for a little mercy. It hurts me because I train like a madman and it doesn't work. When the guy is down, don't shoot him."

This is from Qael Monfils . but it represents what is the culture of how the ordinary man( the forgotten woman( responds to losses. anything else would create a backlash. by the way, watching Monfils play is a treat.

Amazing not a 20 day hi. missed it by 0.25.

Interesting paper from marginal revolution that leaves out the high positive correlation between beauty and intelligence vhttps://www.dropbox.com/s/j43okuoakvsm36h/Pretty2021Jan29.pdf?dl=0 

youtube.com/watch?v=FDxfyX_ESuE the good old boy wishes to stay young.

Feb

9

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/14/the-stock-market-has-never-been-this-big-relative-to-the-economy-signaling-it-could-be-overvalued.html     
The above article contains 1000 fallacies  it is a good exercise  for any student wishing to understand equities to unravel this. More to the point how would you  ascertain the correct relation between earnings and stock price in the aggregate and for individual companies.

Feb

9

Tweets-Feb/8/2021

February 9, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Tremendous abundance of green on screet, partridge. " its's a bull market"

Hope is father to the thought. There have been 17 occasions since 2011 where we had exactly 4 yellows in a row.. 3 days later the sp is up 70% of time slightly positive expect.

Something has to happen.. the range since the 6 pm open is only 10 points not enough for members to relieve the weak of chips from being undercapitalized.

The older we get' the better we were. I won the us nationals 10 times in a row ( counting the 5 times I didn't play because of faith base restrictions. what more could I have done. 

Regrettably I was taught to slide the backhand .with a proper backhand I believe I would have been equal to or surpassed Sharif who is a fine gentleman unfortunate now afflicted with a stroke like me.

 

Feb

9

Tweets-Feb/6/2021

February 9, 2021 | Leave a Comment

There is beauty in the fall of bottom feeders

Its only when you are physically or mentally superior that envy from others doesn't force you down to conform to current cultural values. Elon musk is a good example of a wilt chamberlin of business. comparisons to the founders of tech firms would be interesting.

 

Feb

9

Tweets-Feb/4/2021

February 9, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Keys to the game: 1, can we reach the new constructal number of 3900 . 2, will the big rise that has occurred from 830 to 840 in past leaks of the number continue. 3, will the long bond hit the 166 handle thereby creating a temporary barrier around lunch time.

47 years, speaking fee of 800000, do not reduce it.

As old turkey told 5 times bankrupt j. livermore, " its a bull market" stop the ephemeral stuff and yet there should be some deception until 1 pm. The point of the pole picture is that despite the school closings , people are laughing and smiling and uxorious in Florida.

Feb

5

Stefan Jovanovich  writes:

Drachinifel has just released a video essay with the charming and accurate title: "The Royal Canadian Navy - Sinking You, But Politely"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aa0ahtwzTI8

Leo Jia writes:

Strange also to me that the list stays in absolute silence for a few days once in a while lately.

Feb

5

Tweets-Feb/4/2021

February 5, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Relentless rise to all time high with little duplicity today to shake some weak public out?

Hats off Mr. Sogi singing in Tokyo .reflected singing for Gaijn.

https://google.com/search?q=game+stop+stock+price&rlz=1C1CHBF_enUS920US920&oq=game+&aqs=chrome.

0.69i59j69i57j69i59l2j35i39j69i60l3.3586j1j4&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8 what could be better for Infrastructure , Members, banks, Sp at all time high. renegades taught terrible lesson. 

Feb

5

Tweets-Feb/3/2021

February 5, 2021 | Leave a Comment

A shocking day with every market u p a little with little or no range and bonds refusing to hit the `at 167 handle which would be 3 month low as meeting with the great deceiver beckons.

The next time the Bpttp, feeders dare tp take on the infrastructures, there will be great hesitation. presumably that will be emphasized at the ageist meeting today.

https://m.timesofindia.com/city/mumbai/bees-halt-hungry-elephants-eyeing-crops-cut-human-animal-conflict/amp_articleshow/80609181.cms the bees had their day against the infrastructure.

The only question is with a low range like firm from 3840 to 3825 over night, how do the members generate churng and vig. one thing for sure . it will be unusual. 

The us mint is limiting purchases so that only selected dealers can buy it. what else is new. The drive to protect the publics from itself in all areas especially at the -da.

twitter.com/tylercowen/header_photo anything by Tyler cowen is worth reading. here's one of his books that explains the reason that Nasdaq is up and value stocks bring up he rear.

Feb

5

Tweets-Feb/2/2021

February 5, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Bonds in the 97 handle finally showing effect of unlimited crony spending.

Feb

1

100 pt Swings

February 1, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Getting to be a regular things recently.

Feb

1

For the past few months, I enjoyed a few satellite channels out of Europe.  Two outstanding are Arte and 3Sat, both public broadcasting with no commercials.  Not sure how well-known they are outside of Europe - I had not seen them before.  3Sat is German and in German (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/3sat).  Arte is a joint operation of Germany and France (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arte) and in both German and French.  Both have excellent programs of nature, culture, art, science, history, music and fine films from across the world.  For instance, 3Sat had a full day of operas on New Year's day.  And what's best is they have subtitles for operas, so one gets understanding of the dramas.  Last night, it had Monteverdi's opera L'orfeo with excellent performance.  I had not much experience with music that early, composed some 70 years before Vivaldi's birth.

For outside of Europe, they both have apps on Android (not sure about Apple) providing past and even current programs.  Arte app also allows English subtitles.  Some programs are restricted to certain regions, but perhaps one can access them via VPN.

Feb

1

Tweets-Jan/30/2021

February 1, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Should be a very good week starting Monday in the wee hours.

It is chaos for the ephemeral time that some of the bottom feeders ( the public( make profits at the expense of the top feeders ( the big hedge funds and the members and the high frequency traders. this too shall pass.

Feb

1

Tweets-Jan/29/2021

February 1, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Silly headlines going around. " ride is not over" 2. stocks fall below 3 month bull channel. 3 stock s fall below the open of Jan4. stocks fall as worries of a short squeeze resurfaced to army of amateur investors

Nasdaq at constructal levels of 13000 and 12900 playing turkey while Sogi dries off from surfing and relaxes with his Kona.

How about a strong Monday tomorrow and perhaps a reasonable close today

I know that most comments are well meaning. however, please under no circumstances communicate to me any messages or posts that are not woke as I lose all subscribers as the powers that be mistakenly conclude that I am not woke and should be canceled.

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