Movements and Comovements Noting today the concurrent divergences in the moves in such highly correlated pairs as dollar yen, down, and dollar euro, up, or corn down below 3 and soybeans up and in general IBM way up above 90 versus the market up a gnat, I see many great applications of Goodman's paper "Movements and Comovements in Dependent Time Series." What I like about the mathematical methods in the paper is that many of them depend on signs, and simple multiplications of one change versus another. The kind of thing that the back of envelope and pencil can really help up gain insight into, and that a little programming is very helpful in gaining insight and generating hypotheses from. Doc Castaldo here has a copy of the paper available in snail mail here, and if you contact him at doc<at>dailyspeculations<dot>com he will send.
|