Daily Speculations

The Web Site of Victor Niederhoffer & Laurel Kenner

Dedicated to the scientific method, free markets, deflating ballyhoo, creating value, and laughter;  a forum for us to use our meager abilities to make the world of specinvestments a better place.

 

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S&P Returns Since 1950:

   Year  Q1 change   Q2-Q4 change
   1950 0.037815126  0.181607866
   1951 0.051395007  0.106610801
   1952 0.025241902  0.090274928
   1953-0.048174633 -0.018979834
   1954 0.085852479  0.335560505
   1955 0.016675931  0.243302351
   1956 0.065963061 -0.037334983
   1957-0.054853225 -0.093402856
   1958 0.052763191  0.311401425
   1959 0.004165912  0.080266955
   1960-0.075972616   0.05005421
   1961 0.119600757  0.099754073
   1962-0.027952481 -0.092739037
   1963 0.054992076  0.126934054
   1964 0.052785924   0.07305647
   1965 0.016637168  0.072771588
   1966-0.034620794 -0.099742239
   1967 0.122868169  0.069512195
   1968-0.064994299  0.151441242
   1969-0.022626613 -0.093094276
   1970-0.026395829  0.028115586
   1971 0.088551275  0.017744991
   1972 0.050053874  0.101212687
   1973-0.055315544  -0.12526901
   1974-0.036596617 -0.270483082
   1975 0.215869312  0.081933781
   1976 0.139483313  0.045635886
   1977-0.084124325 -0.033732981
   1978-0.061934805  0.077345589
   1979    0.057018  0.062506152
   1980-0.054196776  0.329807033
   1981 0.001767826 -0.098897059
   1982-0.086413709  0.256162915
   1983 0.087599545  0.078255753
   1984-0.034863275  0.050634502
   1985 0.080243961  0.169489649
   1986 0.130726997  0.013687735
   1987 0.204525746 -0.152965375
   1988 0.047798284  0.072733593
   1989 0.061752845  0.198494252
   1990-0.038087153 -0.028593281
   1991 0.136272788  0.111587868
   1992-0.032127359  0.079318289
   1993 0.036629868  0.032723006
   1994 -0.04433487  0.030284676
   1995 0.090230148  0.230113239
   1996 0.048008702  0.147544539
   1997 0.022113022  0.281738694
   1998 0.135321455   0.11570683
   1999 0.046484385  0.142167495
   2000 0.019962566   -0.1189793
   2001-0.121148544 -0.010557341
   2002-0.000601003 -0.233198825
   2003-0.035961901  0.310948148
   2004 0.012851644  0.076104812
   2005-0.025851541  0.057344209