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The Speculator

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The Speculator
Hard-earned walking canes and new companions
Saying goodbye to a rare small business -- the last cane shop in Manhattan -- stirs thoughts of what success and friendship really mean.
By Victor Niederhoffer and Laurel Kenner

A brochure came in the mail one day. Stan Novak Walking Canes was closing up shop: 50% off dealer’s prices on selected canes; prices as low as $3.

Money Plus.
Easy online tools
and free Bill Pay, too.


Laurel does the cane buying for the Old Speculators' Association, and for years she had been buying canes from Stan Novak. She went down to the Garment District of Manhattan to pay her respects and see what was left. Today she relates her experience.

The cane's the thing
Stan Novak was sitting behind his desk as usual in the fourth-floor office. We shook hands, and I went to the back room. The canes on the brochure were run-of-the-mill stock, but Mr. Novak sold fine canes, too. I knew where to look.

Mr. Novak's white-haired wife was there, sorting through the inventory.

"Hi," I said. "I'm a regular. I'm sorry to see him go out of business."

"Yes," she said. "But he's 84 years old. He can hardly walk."

I found Mr. Novak in February 2000, a few weeks after Vic and I started writing columns together on the stock market. We figured our readers knew more about stocks than we did, and one of our first acts was to offer prizes for the best insights on trading. We had 200 responses in two hours. Several of them were downright magnificent.

We thought about sending 1987 vintage bottles of wine as prizes, but we didn't want to violate any laws. We've always liked a certain passage in an 1887 book by Henry Clews called “Twenty-Eight Years in Wall Street,” and it inspired the idea of awarding canes:

    “But few gain sufficient experience in Wall Street to command success until they reach that period of life in which they have one foot in the grave. When this time comes, these old veterans of the Street usually spend long intervals of repose at their comfortable homes, and in times of panic, which recur sometimes oftener than once a year, these old fellows will be seen in Wall Street, hobbling down on their canes to their brokers' offices.

    “Then they always buy good stocks to the extent of their bank balances, which they have been permitted to accumulate for just such an emergency. The panic usually rages until enough of these cash purchases of stock is made to afford a big 'rake in.' When the panic has spent its force, these old fellows, who have been resting judiciously on their oars in expectation of the inevitable event, which usually returns with the regularity of the seasons, quickly realize, deposit their profits with their bankers, or the overplus thereof, after purchasing more real estate that is on the up grade, for permanent investment, and retire for another season to the quietude of their splendid homes and the bosoms of their happy families.

I looked up canes in the Yellow Pages and found Mr. Novak, the last cane purveyor in Manhattan. I was enchanted. There in that dusty office with an old manual typewriter, Mr. Novak had English hardwoods, Biancardi bamboos, Italian canes with the carved heads of jockeys, hollow maple canes with compartments for swords and brandy flasks. Best of all, Mr. Novak was a stock millionaire.

A walking stick is a friend
Over the next two-and-a-half years, the Speculators and Mr. Novak did a good business. I sent dozens of canes to clever readers. Now I was in the back room again on what I knew would be my last visit.

Mrs. Novak tried to interest me in walking sticks.

"Look at this." She held out a rose-headed knobbed stick. "I'm going to take this home. All I have are plain canes."

"You're married to a cane man and you don't have a fancy cane. Isn't that always the way," I said.

Mr. Novak's inventory was pretty well picked over, but I found some beautiful ones. Two with silver eagle heads. Two with horn handles. Three long chestnut Prince Edwards. A few with duck heads. A beautiful one made from striped wood. An English cane with an art deco silver head.

I remembered the time we sent one of those deco canes to Dr. Brett Steenbarger. His kids painted a banner for him the day we told him he'd won our contest, and they put it up on the house: "Welcome home, Cane Winner!" All three of us had tears in our eyes at that one.

Dr. Brett turned out to be so good he started writing guest columns for us on his pioneering work in the new field of behavioral finance. Then he wrote columns on his own. Then he became a talk-show guest. Then he won a book contract, and that book will publish early next year. Over the years, the three of us became great friends. In a way, that cane had started it all.

One summer, Vic discovered a book called Tales of the Old Duck Hunters by Gordon MacQuarrie. The main character is the President of the Old Duck Hunters’ Association Inc., a mythical personification of all duck hunters, past, present and future. We liked the book so much we took to calling ourselves the Old Speculators’ Association. We notified our best reader-contributors of their acceptance in this august society by sending them an official Association cane.

I carried 19 canes out to the front office.

"You're going to bankrupt me," I said. "I'll give you $20 for each of them."

"You're a shrewd article," he said approvingly. "That's why you have all that money."

I shook my head, and started handing him canes. He wrote down each of them by hand.

He took up an English cane with a horn handle. "You're getting to the good stuff now," he said.

"That's the good stuff?" I said, holding my bargaining stance.

"Yes. That's an ebony shaft."

I walked over to the cane rack under the sign that read, "A Walking Stick Makes A Good Companion."

I took out the $200 lady's cloisonné.

"You're getting that cane?" he said. "That's no ordinary cane. That cane is in the Smithsonian."

I gave him the cloisonné cane to ring up and sat down in the old rocker. I rocked and looked around the room. The old newspaper clipping about J.P. Morgan was still on the wall. An old-fashioned round clock on the wall said 2:00. I thought about all the hours that Mr. Novak had spent in that room selling canes. I felt like crying.

"You rocking in that chair now? You know how old that chair is? Older than you are."

He was writing down the descriptions of the canes. He looked at me. His eyes were bright, too.

I walked over to the cane rack again and pulled out a $200 lion-headed cane. The lion had red jewel eyes, and it was snarling. I looked in the mouth and saw little teeth.

I handed the lion cane to Mr. Novak and sat down and rocked.

"Who you going to give that cloisonné cane to?" he asked.

"I don't know. A lady," I said.

"You tell them that is a special cane. At the Smithsonian they have that cane."

"I've enjoyed doing business with you, Mr. Novak," I said. "I'll sure miss you. How long you been in business?"

"A long time, baby. Forty years. Maybe forty-five."

Mr. Novak hadn't said a word about my bid. He turned to the adding machine and began totaling up the sale.

I began to worry a little. Mr. Novak always gave me a 20% discount, but not before offering me 10% and pointing out that shipping was included in the price.

"$342," he said.

I had a lump in my throat. Most of the canes I had chosen were expensive ones that hadn’t been on the price list he’d sent me.

"Aw, Mr. Novak," I said.

I reached for my checkbook so I wouldn't start crying.

"Here's what you make the check out to," he said. He handed me a white card:

Stan Novak
Walking Canes


"You're going to make a lot of people very happy," I told him. He smiled.

"You've been the most successful with these canes," he said.

"Yes," I said. "We send your canes to people, and they become our friends."

I shook his hand. At 84, he had a firm handshake. I kissed him on the cheek. He and Mrs. Novak said goodbye. When I went to shake Mrs. Novak's hands, she shook her head. "My hands are too dusty," she said.

I walked out of the office and on to the Manhattan sidewalk.

Better than a bargain
I got home and called Vic to tell him about Mr. Novak.

"Did he have a lot of canes left?" Vic asked.

"Yes. He said he would be selling them from home."

"Probably not many people buying canes anymore," Vic said. "All those hip replacements and wheelchairs."

"You can buy them on the Internet now," I added.

"There's a lot of tragedy in the world," said Vic.

I told him that Mr. Novak had given me a better price than I asked for.

"Did you give him a check for the difference?" he asked.

Vic's the one who taught me how to bargain. According to the experts, bargaining is a deeply satisfying activity. When a person stops bargaining, it is as though life itself is sighing.

"No," I said. "But I will."

Next Week: Panics
Canes go in and out of fashion, and so do investment strategies. With the Nasdaq ($COMPX) having fallen from 5,000 to 1,200 in 2 1/2 years, buying on the dips doesn’t have the cachet it enjoyed in the 1990s. We just finished a comprehensive study of whether it’s still possible to profit in panics by “taking out the canes,” and will report the results in next week’s column.

    At the time of publication, neither Victor Niederhoffer nor Laurel Kenner owned shares of any equities mentioned in this column. They trade in derivatives instruments. They may be net long or net short depending on the market conditions of the moment.




    MSN Money's editorial goal is to provide a forum for personal finance and investment ideas. Our articles, columns, message board posts and other features should not be construed as investment advice, nor does their appearance imply an endorsement by Microsoft of any specific security or trading strategy. An investor's best course of action must be based on individual circumstances.