Jan

12

 The notion that the United States has had a two-party system over the last hundred years is largely a fantasy. This may be another successful schoolteacher fairy tale designed to discourage "conservatives" from having any patience with the minority party; it may be simply part of the American notion that the two teams on on the field have an equal chance that is to be determined by "how much they want it". Either way, the fantasy of equal competition does not fit the facts. The Republicans have only won the trophy once in the last hundred years - in 1928. That was the only time where the Republicans continued to control both houses of Congress as a member of their party was re-elected President. The results were these: Republican House margin of majority: 12%, Republican Senate margin of majority (including Vice-President's vote in the event of a tie): 10%.

The Democrats, on the other hand, have 4 Super Bowl rings: 1936, 1940, 1944, and 1964. Their first - Roosevelt's 2nd election - was the biggest blowout: Democratic House margin of majority: 30%, Democratic Senate margin of majority (including Vice-President's vote in the event of a tie): 34%.

Even in the era of divided government and less than landslide elections, the drift has remained in favor of the Democratic party.

2008 election results - Democratic House margin of majority: 19%, Democratic Senate margin of majority (including Vice-President's vote in the event of a tie): 21%

2014 election results - Republican House margin of majority: 17%, Republican Senate margin of majority (deducting Vice-President's vote in the event of a tie): 3%

What interests me is the likelihood that the United States may finally have a genuine two-party system. If it does happen, it will be because the Republicans finally become what Grant planned for them to be 140 years ago - the party of the new Constitution that included the 14th Amendment.is may actually change. The Democrats have been the party of Federal executive authority since their founding; whenever possible, they have looked to the White House to order the entire country to do what they wanted - i.e. buy Louisiana, chase slaves, regulate the sale of sick chickens, etc. During my lifetime, the notion that that the States who make up the Union have equal sovereignty suffered the same fate as Grant's reputation as President. It ceased being taught in any law or other type of school, and the presumption of absolute Federal authority became universal. Now, to my delight and surprise, the idea equal sovereignties and rights of citizenship for the States and the Union has revived. People, even judges, have read the 10th Amendment and understand the meaning of its plain language. We shall see.


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