Oct

30

 One notes that Lloyds bank is 25% owned by the English as is Royal Bank of Scotland. And one wonders if government owned companies in general including AIG and GM and so many of the US banks, perform better than counterparts considering they have unlimited funding, they have the government put not to go bankrupt, and presumably would be the source of flexionic emoluments. One believes its worth a study.

Mr. Isomorphisms writes:

It was seen in 2008 that banks need not be state-owned to benefit from the government put.

Victor Niederhoffer writes: 

It would be seen that whatever anti says would be very sententious as he manages 1.5 trillion or so in Norwegian. His book is a good compendium of research by others. We can't figure out here if he says that bond futures have a drift or not because of liquidity preference. But its impossible to dispute the Dimson stuff that stocks return about 6 percentage per year higher than bonds. That can add up over 100 years.

Richard Owen writes: 

Did someone at the Norges Bank fund publish a Dimson-type book (favouring bonds)? The Norweigian surplus seems to be invested in a fairly Dimsonian manner.

anonymous writes: 

While it may appear that they have an unfair advantage, one must consider that Government subsidy cannot outpace the real economy forever without a collapse of the Government or the subsidized. It does not matter if the subsidy is direct or indirect off the backs of profitable real producers by changing the channels of money flow from real producers to the TBTF banks. Otherwise government TBTF banks would own everything. As the flexions get this status by already being big enough to crush the economy by their collapse. One wonders how many years such unfair advantage can continue.

While I would agree a study on those with NEW quasi government guarantees are in order.

I would argue that in the Dimson long run one must consider the following end scenarios:

1. Banks become so regulated that they are like utilities. That is they cannot fail, but they are only allowed to grew based on the "demand" for money. like Utilities grow with the demand for them.

2. Banks truly do rule the government, and they growth continues unabated and out paces the economy until there is revolution.

3. The Government tires of extortion and decides to break them up or kicks in their going out of business plan by charging them with crimes the banks deserved or railroaded.

I would not bet on the bread and circus acts for the TBTF banks to continue forever, as this is a bet against the USA.


Comments

Name

Email

Website

Speak your mind

1 Comment so far

  1. Diogenes on November 4, 2014 6:43 pm

    > Did someone at the Norges Bank fund publish a Dimson-type book

    I think OP’s reference is to Antti Ilmanen’s 2011 book ‘Expected Returns: An Investor’s Guide to Harvesting Market Rewards’

Archives

Resources & Links

Search