Jun
11
Positive Growth? from Ralph Vince
June 11, 2012 |
Meat goes into the sausage factory….
Meat comes out of the sausage factory.
So, by the conventional measure of GDP (which counts government spending as a positive, the only negative being imports) counts government spending twice. That positive has already been accounted for (and perhaps it should be a negative, as it must be made up by taxation, past, present or future).
The government could borrow 5 trillion, spend 5 trillion, and GDP would increase by 5 trillion.
If we look at my version of GDP, we haven't had positive growth in years in the US.
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which is why I think GDI (gross domestic income) has been a better indicator of real economic activity than GDP for the whole of this crisis period.