Jul
15
A Theory of Fixation, from Victor Niederhoffer
July 15, 2011 |
Of course there is a theory of fixation with the market getting fixated on vivid events, even when they are, as almost all the time, meaningless. So when Germany fixed its Greece problem the market went up 10%. Before that the market went down 10% on problems in Greece as if, as was said here by Rollert, the Greeks are such charlatans that it was foregone that they would accept bribes.
Thus the market is fixated on such things in the us that affected things in Greece and other countries so whenever the Greek type scenario comes up the market drops a quick 1%. That is indisputable. Those of us who follow it minute by minute have seen these 1% moves in a second about twice a week for the past month including the immediate impact of the Moodies announcement and the S&P announcement. Of course, these are wrongful ephemeral moves, due to the little man, with a short term horizon and they are quietly reversed by those with access to unlimited capital who already knew about the news as lackey points out et al.
Not to be one upped, the other rating service weighs in. They know much more apparently than the 10 year bonds market at 2.7% yields, a 9 month low about the risk of default and the likelihood of debt causing insurmountable problems and inflation. Let's all join hands and make sure that the service rates are increased so that the small man can satisfy his feeling of envy and vote accordingly for the party that made those that have more than they do suffer assuming they were not able to shift the burden and that the more they suffer the worse it is for jobs and growth.
Comments
1 Comment so far
Archives
- May 2013
- April 2013
- March 2013
- February 2013
- January 2013
- December 2012
- November 2012
- October 2012
- September 2012
- August 2012
- July 2012
- June 2012
- May 2012
- April 2012
- March 2012
- February 2012
- January 2012
- December 2011
- November 2011
- October 2011
- September 2011
- August 2011
- July 2011
- June 2011
- May 2011
- April 2011
- March 2011
- February 2011
- January 2011
- December 2010
- November 2010
- October 2010
- September 2010
- August 2010
- July 2010
- June 2010
- May 2010
- April 2010
- March 2010
- February 2010
- January 2010
- December 2009
- November 2009
- October 2009
- September 2009
- August 2009
- July 2009
- June 2009
- May 2009
- April 2009
- March 2009
- February 2009
- January 2009
- December 2008
- November 2008
- October 2008
- September 2008
- August 2008
- July 2008
- June 2008
- May 2008
- April 2008
- March 2008
- February 2008
- January 2008
- December 2007
- November 2007
- October 2007
- September 2007
- August 2007
- July 2007
- June 2007
- May 2007
- April 2007
- March 2007
- February 2007
- January 2007
- December 2006
- November 2006
- October 2006
- September 2006
- August 2006
- Older Archives
Resources & Links
- The Letters Prize
- Pre-2007 Victor Niederhoffer Posts
- Vic’s NYC Junto
- Reading List
- Programming in 60 Seconds
- The Objectivist Center
- Foundation for Economic Education
- Tigerchess
- Dick Sears' G.T. Index
- Pre-2007 Daily Speculations
- Laurel & Vics' Worldly Investor Articles
We should be thankful Greece isn’t a military power house.