My martial arts is most unsatisfactory. Louis L'amour who was almost unbeaten as a heavyweight always said, the time to win a fight is at the first blow. That is always when you can escape or win. And the Sacketts always followed this in winning their battles against their evil enemies– the Higgins.

I followed this rule unknowingly in rackets. Always followed the motto "the first blow is half the battle." Desperately tried to get out to an early lead. Then once having achieved it, I would pretend the adversary was ahead by the same 5 zip score that I was ahead so I would try harder and never give up.

I believe the basketball books will take a 55 or 60% bet that the team that scores the first basket will win. Of course there is the part - whole fallacy in this, even more than in the totally worthless January baromoter that hasn't worked since it was discovered.

Many would be flexions apply this idea to the market, and their activities are most amusing to behold.





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2 Comments so far

  1. Ralph Di Fiore on May 25, 2011 3:49 pm

    As a big fan of MMA, I would counter that from the multitude of fights I have watched, the first blow theory is not valid most of the time against another skilled opponent. In an epic bout for the heavyweight title between former national wrestling champion turned MMA fighter Brock Lesnar and Cain Velasquez, Lesnar rushed out quickly in an attempt to quickly destroy his smaller opponent Cain Velasquez. Cain withstood the assault, gained his composure and dismantled his bigger opponent. The counter measure in MMA is often the most effective weapon. Skilled practioners wait for the opponent to commit to some type of offense and then punish them for their error. In a non MMA setting, this was the playing style of the great Russian grandmaster Petrosian. He defended brilliantly and pounced on an error made by his opponent.

  2. Steve on May 26, 2011 9:55 am

    When Mike Tyson was starting out on his way to the youngest champion he was destroying everything in his path. He put his opponents to sleep rapidly and ruthlessly. He quickly achieved a reputation of an assassin in the ring. The downside to this was that he never really learned how to fight deep into a match. He really only knew one way to fight which was head strong.

    This proved to his detriment when he fought Buster Douglas. Douglas kept Mike at a distance with a long jab fought a great fight a fight of a generation. Buster survived a near knockout in the 8th round and came back in the 9th to “shock the world”. Tyson really was never the same. He was convicted of rape, returned to fight Evander and found out that Evander knew how to fight. In their second fight, Tyson bit Evanders ear got disqualified and ended up where he is today.


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