Mar
8
2011: A Prime Year, from Jim Sogi
March 8, 2010 |
Locusts tend to swarm in prime number intervals. It reduces the years in which there might be an overlap with other niche competitors.
Following this idea, here is a thought experiment. Any yearly cycle system must peak or trough on a multiple, making a prime a non-peak or trough in any given cycle system. That in turn means under a cycle following analysis that we are between either a peak or a trough. Since we had a trough recently, that would leave that we have not hit the peak.
Ki Zussman notes:
Speaking of prime numbers, here are the DJIA annual returns for years which were prime numbers (1930-present):
Date DOW prime
12/1/2003 0.253
12/1/1999 0.252
12/1/1997 0.226
12/1/1993 0.137
12/1/1987 0.023
12/3/1979 0.042
12/3/1973 -0.166
12/3/1951 0.144
12/1/1949 0.131
12/1/1933 0.637
12/1/1931 -0.527
One notes these years had higher mean returns than non-prime years, but the difference was insignificant:
Two-sample T for DOW prime vs DOW
DOW prime 11 0.105 0.288 0.087 T=0.52
DOW 70 0.058 0.181 0.022
The next prime year is 2011, followed by 2027
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