Feb
1
Sports and Stock Stats, from Paul Marino
February 1, 2010 |
Just as Daily Spec is starting to present financial data in sports-statistic-like terms, Bloomberg has announced that it will use its analysis tools on sports.
Robert Smythe asks:
Can someone explain briefly the chart at the top of the page? What do these numbers mean? USB?
Alex Castaldo says:
These are the price moves in S&P futures and in Bond futures on the given day. (Sorry about the ugly abbreviation USB, the full word US Bonds did not quite fit the allotted space). In each case the nearby futures contract (currently March) is the one we use.
The price change for bonds is quoted in points and thirty-seconds of a point, as is traditional in Bonds. So for example on January 12 bonds rose by 1 point and 20/32, and this is shown as +1.20.
As Paul Marino notes, the whole thing is inspired by sport scorecards that show the recent wins/losses for a team.
The four colors are based on who wins and loses on any given day. A Red ink day is when both Equity and Bond investors lose, while Green is when bond and equity prices both go up. The mixed cases are: a warm orange color when the environment was favorable to those who take equity risk but unfavorable to those who avoid equity risk (i.e. bond investors), a cool blue when stock prices went down and bond prices went up (sometimes called a flight to safety or flight from risk day).
We hope you find our calendar interesting.
Comments
4 Comments so far
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Thanks for the in depth response. I started trading the SPX cash index about a year ago, and this should be helpful potentially in my decision making.
descriptive, not predictive.
‘descriptive, not predictive’
Are you sure?
The Monday/Friday dynamic is interesting - Stocks up/Bonds down every first day of the week.Bonds up every Friday, and stocks down 3 out of 4 of the Fridays. How far back does that go? and what happens to this during sharp up-legs and sharp down-legs in the markets?