Jul

9

"With 16 Months to go, Negative Partisanship Predicts the 2020 Presidential Election"

On whether the D side can find a candidate that will actually stimulate the turnout required:

The potential advantage they have is a long primary process, during which they hope a clearly strong candidate will emerge. And they will figure out what messages to focus on to get that turnout.

What 45 will do is try to time a great trade breakthrough with China so that it gives him max boost going into the election. That timing should be a tradeable opp.


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