May

20

 Here's an interesting — and for Democrats, ominous — statistic: since the election of 1896, a political party has been denied control of the White House after four years only once. That was in 1980 when incumbent Democrat Jimmy Carter lost his re-election bid to Ronald Reagan. And since 1953, only one party has stayed in office more than eight consecutive years. The Republican administrations of Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush lasted from 1981 to 1993. A lot of voters may be reflexively throwing out the bums after eight years, with rare exceptions.

Stefan Jovanovich writes: 

The 19th century was even more fickle. After the first broad expansion of the franchise in the 1820s, only Jackson, Lincoln and Grant were 8 year Presidents in 2 consecutive terms.


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