Nov

30

 This article predicts the impeachment odds near 50% for next 2 years

What are the obvious stocks/commodities/currencies that would directly benefit from an impeachment, if any? Which would decline?

The private prison stocks used to trade somewhat as an impeachment proxy but with the ousting of sessions and change in tone re: reform, no longer intuitive.

My thought would be putting on an appealing spread trade to hedge the odds market which feels very aggressive

Ralph Vince writes:

First things first.

I don't see Trump and Xi bypassing an opportunity to goose their markets. Expect a statement from both of them, jointly, to the effect of "we're working on a deal, we're getting close, it's complicated, there are lots of issues, but it's coming."


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  1. Weighing The Week Ahead: So Much News, So Little Time - Financial News & Business News on December 2, 2018 9:56 am

    […] This is a situation where you may still have time to adjust your positions on Monday. If you have been sitting on the sidelines and the news is pretty good, you can scratch off another market worry. Ralph Vince comments, “I don’t see Trump and Xi bypassing an opportunity to goose their markets. Expect a statement from both of them, jointly, to the effect of “we’re working on a deal, we’re getting close, it’s complicated, there are lots of issues, but it’s coming.” […]

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