Jul

14

 I continue to be amazed that anyone takes Warren Buffett's public comments seriously. What the man does in his tax management of ongoing businesses deserves absolute attention; what he says is the kind of stuff that used to be dispensed by every barker at a medicine show.

The only people who make money buying and selling shares are the rocket scientists. Sometimes their experiments blow up, but they are the only people who have ever made a killing on Wall Street, since the Morgan family was blessed with not one but two genius partners (Peabody and Drexel).

Buffett pretends that his great fortune has come from buying socks and stocks when they are on sale; but his actual stock portfolio's performance has been mediocre ever since the quants and index funds joined the party. Buffett's actual success has come from copying what the best merchant bankers did in the 19th century: buying whole companies and eliminating internal their bureaucracies and combining their income statements and balance sheets to turn the government into a minor partner in the future gains. (The merchant bankers in the 19th century did this as well, with tariffs and what they called "money shaving".)

The world Buffett describes is gone. There are no times now "when no one else is (interested)" and patent medicines are readily available everywhere.


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