Nov

6

There have only been 8 US presidential elections in the history of S&P 500 futures. In 7 of the 8 instances, the S&P 500 had a net gain in the 10 trading days ending on Election Day. With 8 of the 10 days complete this year, the net change of the S&P 500 is -58.

The S&P 500 declined on the day after Election Day in 6 of the 8 instances with an average loss of 11 points or 1.1%.

10 days ending     Net change       Day after election Net change
      11/6/1984      1.30     0.8%        11/7/1984      -2.80   -1.6%
      11/8/1988     -9.00    -3.2%        11/9/1988      -1.00   -0.4%
      11/3/1992      4.20     1.0%        11/4/1992      -3.65   -0.9%
      11/5/1996      6.30     0.9%        11/6/1996      14.00    2.0%
      11/7/2000     41.00     2.9%        11/8/2000     -30.70   -2.1%
      11/2/2004     27.10     2.5%        11/3/2004      14.50    1.3%
      11/4/2008     43.90     4.6%        11/5/2008     -45.20   -4.5%
      11/6/2012     18.40     1.3%        11/7/2012     -36.10   -2.5%
 


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