Jan

22

Learn

January 22, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Victor Niederhoffer  writes:

What can we learn and what insights do the football  games and quan regularities has to teach us about markets. I often feel that the 50 years zone is  transition to likely touchdown as is the 80 to 100 level the redone where  it is likely to go to 100.

Eric Lindell   writes:

I've found that general knowledge of shenanigans can be helpful. Consider deflategate, where Tom Brady/Patriots were accused of using deflated footballs.

Careful review of highlight reel shows intentionally missed passes by the Colts, which even the announcer noticed.

Deflated footballs were used as a minor cheating scandal to conceal a much more serious one. They were also used to create the illusion that the Colts were resisting Patriots' attempt to cheat.

It was partly because Brady and concomitant shenanigans moved to the Buccaneers that I predicted a good season for them. I still do.

Jan

22

Tweets-Jan/21/2021

January 22, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Interview with Sogi, the importance of 50's and 100's, a maximum of woke-ity

https://youtube.com/watch?v=zZ6MWHrjYOg

It's not cricket, European range was so small (less than 10 points) that the public wasn't forced out of positions … yet

Sogi interview has important life lessons on surfing, coffee, and books. Sogi is a man for all seasons.. highly recommended.

Jan

22

Tweets-Jan/20/2021

January 22, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Happy days all time highs in all stock markets except German. The less capitalistic we are the higher we go.

Jack Barnaby " the older we get the better we were" ( I had salaam 13-10 in the fifth game and then I fooled him with a reverse corner and he was so astounded he had to readjust his jock. etc.)

The Sennet victor podcast will interview Mr. Sogi at 530 pm et. today Jan 20. well all learn something and revive some soulful thought of a very good man.

Jan

22

Tweets-Jan/19/2021

January 22, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Structural numbers beckon at 30000 Nikkei, 38000 sp. what else?

Today we discuss sports betting as well as differences between public and private infrastructure. 

http://youtube.com/video/yFqRM_cOStM

Jan

22

Tweets-Jan/18/2021

January 22, 2021 | Leave a Comment

What can we learn from football tactics based on where you are relative to midfield and how close you are to a fist down 10 pts and the red zone that will help us with market tactics?

One expects that I will break my record of losing followers on my post about football as I have lost of each of the last 15 posts there is nothing about the incumbent or woke in it I think.

For sure the level of analysis in sports betting e.g. vsin is much more sophisticated than anything used in market forecasting.

Jan

18

Tweets-Jan/17/2021

January 18, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Mr. Sogi do you like sushi with y our Kona coffee while watching the game with the ball pass the 50 year line of the adversary.

Mr Sogi you're close to your favorite red zone. may i suggest you go with your Japanese recent hires? 

Jan

18

Tweets-Jan/15/2021

January 18, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Now one ascertains why it was down overnight

https://youtu.be/ghIiTR7l9_g

Jan

18

Tweets-Jan/14/2021

January 18, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Allis Halcyon on the round front.

youtu.be/j35x-DwViio 

Jan

18

Tweets-Jan/13/2021

January 18, 2021 | Leave a Comment

The purpose of markets, the lessons from the palindromes break of the bank on the British pounds, the secret of gaining traction for your position and a general reprieve of the market that's more informative than any other.

https://investopedia.com/articles/forex/08/greatest-currency-trades.asp on the contrary the worst currency trade ever see the pod cast.

youtu.be/5L47Kh5DHGM holding fire, bonds resist inflation, constructal numbers everywhere , Nikkei 30000.

Jan

18

Tweets-Jan/12/2021

January 18, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Its not cricket the range so far has only been 20 points. that's not enough to create normal vig and profits for infrastructure by forcing out the undercapitalized public thru moves they cant accommodate due to deplorable capital.

What is the game where the pitcher didn't allow the batters a clear shot by ruling it to the batter.

What the weather like at Duke professor and how are my daughter and his husband Chris doing at their schools. are their taking advantage of the constructs in their studies and life? how does it relate to medical and law schools as well as markets?"

A change in guard after 5 consecutive days down. could it temporaries halt like damn the constructal number in Sp.

Amazing that five down days inbounds didn't break the Sp relentless rise to new high. but a 1 day rise in bonds insufficient to send tocks up by almost a %

Would everybody kindly refrain from sending me non-woke material of any kid to this account as I have lost 10% of my followers in the past 2 weeks presumably do to algorithms to prevent non-woke.

The big catholic schools would pay bklyn college football team a huge amount to come to their home. so they could demolish the boys from BKLYN. the average score against bklyn was 72-3 . a touch back didn't count as a negative points so their score was positive like my followers.

Jan

12

 

Victor Niederhoffer  writes:

How many things can you think of that were not cricket in the recent election https://thenewdaily.com.au/sport/cricket/2018/03/28/underarm-bowling-incident/

Stefan Jovanovich  writes:

In terms of electoral accounting, this was a particularly nasty
election; but it was hardly exceptional. Compared to what happened in
New York in 1884, the cheating by the Democrats in Pennsylvania in 2020
barely rises above the level of "if you ain't cheating, you ain't competing" which has been the standard ever since the qualifications for
voting stopped including property ownership (the 1820s).

Victor Niederhoffer  writes: 

Herb London used to say that  1/2 million votes were always relieved in NYC election for governors. its was a hard takes for him 50% of the
electorate worked for noon- service paying orgs like the un or the  city
and state govs. Add in the 500000 votes and he was behind 60%  of
votes before  the Staten Island politician could eviscerate hims
further. but what  i was referring to was the " not cricket :" like the
delay in the big pharma announcement and the  stimulus bill and the Dr.
cattle   propaganda and the suppression of news about the son.

Stefan Jovanovich  writes:

Yes.  There is nothing in that 19th century election - even the
propaganda against Blaine for being "anti-Catholic" - that comes close
to what we have lived through in the age of democracy not dying in
darkness.

Jan

12

Galton on Politics

January 12, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Victor Niederhoffer  writes: 

Why a slight switch in sentiment can cause a landslide of change.  I'll
get the exact quote somewhat  later but this is good  concerning the
tendency of oxen and human to have a preference for slavery

Penny Brown writes: 

A quote from Maxim du Camp - friend of Flaubert: "Revolution is always
the same: initiated by simpletons, helped along by fools, pushed through
by rogues and then taken over by the opportunists who do quite well."

Jan

12

Tweets-Jan/11/2021

January 12, 2021 | Leave a Comment

A round number is never a penumbra.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military%E2%80%93industrial_complex replaced by congressional tcho-loy complex.

Little john, Frier tuck, special purpose vehicles Harvard invite to buy venture capital thru them, a plenitude of yellow.

Jan

12

Tweets-Jan/10/2021

January 12, 2021 | Leave a Comment

" Its a bull market " partridge.

Jan

12

Tweets-Jan/8/2021

January 12, 2021 | Leave a Comment

I had an insight from a dream last nite.the secret is to buy when the news is bad. do the opposite of what it seems like you should do from a psychology of spec book of http://1900.buy when the public is most negative concerning the prospects.
 
Nasdaq breached another constructional number at 13000. bitcoin on way to Sogi coffee number at 44400.. Nikkei must reach 30000 now at 28400.
 
Niederhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web 2021/01/08 https://youtu.be/3DVMDAisu-E via@YouTube

 

Jan

8

My picture of the chairs office without room for a private hairdresser was in bad taste as i came during the protests i apologize, what I said about g and s having more freedom to ridicule the unified gov than we have was true but it was inappropriate at moment.

During the march of the peers in Iolanthe G and S HAD Them costume and masked as infamous peers of the day. i performed in the show 60 years ago directed by Nancy Lorie, Jim's first wife who every year directed a different G and S show as a fund raiser for the Lab school. Imagine a performance today with some peers dressed as persons of color, others in orange,, and a personage of age with her hair in curlers.

Quant points out that last night. I was bearish because of increase service rates spending and progressive control of capital and the dire prospects for R's in future. I was wrong,after being bull for 1000 pts first rise today before playing it for the contractual 3800.

I am very fallible especially when I relate market to qualitative things and when I give up buy and hold.

https://youtu.be/y8P-k0Lrjkk 

Stocks at an all-time high, bonds at a 7 month low. NASDAQ at an all-time high near a constructal number of 13,000. Stick to buy-and-hold and don't be swayed by qualitative bad news. 

Jan

8

You can't give a beaten dog a break. All the news that the incumbent cased for just 11000 votes is a terrible bowdlerizing of what the conference calls was. the incumbent presented 8 strands of falsity in the tallys including one by a notorious ballot stuffer. And he said that given he claims and will document hundreds of thousands of votes taken away from him or falsely given to the challenger. ,, all he need sis 11000 votes; the conference call was secretly recorded by the republicans on the voting committee in Georgia. why?

Your own man. on the Spe list we have had any discussions of the street game where there is a dispute about a call and the other side points out that "your own man " said you were out. Secretary Raffenberger and the other repubs are perfect example of that.. they are obviously trying their hardest to sink the incumbent whole claiming that the voted for r's etc. and that they recounted twice. The leaked tape t o embarrass the incumbent and the 25 calls he made unrequited is another indicia. the dee p state and the swamp are contagious not only is 95% against the r's because they among other things they are paid by increasing government but they are hauling out every technique form street games and other games of duplicate to make it seems that they are non-partisan crude joins t he fray at construal number and inflationary signal that academic research will be hauled out to show it don't matter with everything else at high also change in form and tempo and wokity Tech will not have as clear sailing to use their big horns to out compete non-tech business. should be reversal of form for value stocks another change in form in favor of big horns.

Wsj editorial reply

(Edited) 

Actually the disaster is going to occur if the Democrats: stack the Supreme Court, continue to support the black victimization industry, bail out the free-spending and almost bankrupt Democratic states of Connecticut, New Jersey, and Illinois.

Wsj editorial response continued 

Cancel student debt, bring in Medicare for all having already trashed a good part of the private health insurance market with Obamacare, re-enter Iran nuclear deal, keep cozying up to Cuba, continue bleeding the military budget to pay for domestic.

editorial continued  

Defund the police, excuse self important intelligentsia that all white people are racist, continue to block charter schools, be hostage to teachers unions, consolidate more power in wash" Why the market is down 35 since D'S won Georgia.

Niederhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web 2021/01/05 https://youtu.be/S1d6WcCOeMk via @YouTube

Nie discussion of trend following unindividual stocks, the three greatest investors, bitcoin as sponge for woke and inflation, what really happened in conf call, inflation galore, big horn sheep as big tech, "your own man" et al in Jan 5 sonnet Vic podcast. Yes the great genius chess champion often played chess at w.4th street beach while I played paddles a block away, unfortunately the water didn't transmit his genius to me, but I had seven wonderful kids more than he amazing that at of 11 30 pm from 6pm,est the  Sp futures have swung above and below the construal number of 3700 8 times— doing it again as I write- 

Jan

5

Perfect Example

January 5, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Victor Niederhoffer  writes: 

Of our favorite technique from street games " your own ma" the r's in Georgia  loudly proclaim that they voted r's but at the same time they are obviously string their hardest to sink the incumbent.  How can you fight the system when everyone is against you and they are hauling out every technique to make you look bad. Who is this notorious ballot stuffer that the   Georgia elected official had in a prominent position. And which the incumbent said was alone in the office with the suitcase of 100% voted or d's. the conference call claimed 7 or 7 deferent kinds of abuse and it was taken out of context by all media to say that the incumbent want just 11000 votes. I often was visited with a biased referee in squash who was against me because I was not from Merior or the prep schools or because I was Jewish. Osborne tried to help me. and I still remember how the finals of the championship was stolen from me when the referee called a ball down on me which he had never done. In other words, play was going on and there was no appeal but he shout out down. It doesn't seem important in retrospect but it prevent me from winning the world championship when I was 18 years old. the incumbent has to fight 4 millions against him and the forces against him are contagious to make matters worse.

Zubin Al  writes: 

Indeed, it’s the coordinated powers of the world against one man (a man in the most powerful position in the world). Trump has been an existential threat to China’s path to economic superpower status, an existential threat to the Climate Action 100+ coordination/cooperation, and an existential threat to the swamp. To what extent would they go to remove him?  It seems we are seeing it. “Whatever it takes.”  Tomorrow and the days ahead may be total chaos.

Jan

5

There was some talk responsive to what regularities are in play now that the first day of year was down more than ever before. with I think a facetious shout out to me, i.e. " he has every regularity quantified" if only that were true and more to point if only the regularities weren't subject to Bacon's law, i.e.. Irhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web 2021/01/04.

You can't keep a good man down. After the biggest sell-off to start any year (150 pts), the market ended only 1.5% off the all-time high. Everything depends upon the Georgia election tomorrow. 

Jan

5

With topsy turvy and woke and margin debt at all time high and the small investors marking money in options spec purp vehicles and momentum, and Georgia in play for d's, I revisit the likelihoods and note after big highs near the last trading day of year, not so hot.

Please tell me how with every market at a high, the inflation are going to be very worrisomely high the next few //ac=announcements or are we still going with all the crazy academic research that says that markets don't matter and are just temporary blips.

We start with a drink of Kona coffee from Mr. Sogi as the market plays footsie with his favorite coffee level of 3750.

Jan

4

https://youtu.be/3VniS6ObNNE
Niederhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web 2020/12/30
Predictions for the end of the year! Harvard leads from behind, a forerunner of venture capital crash.

Jan

4

There is something poetic, inevitable, fateful, and nonstructural about the year end closing prices for markets. Every market closed at a absolute high. the grains, the softs, the meats, the European stocks, the Japanese, the SP and the Nasdaq. just the bonds at 17300 in middle the of last day of year was in a sense recap of the whole year. the SP was down 1/2 % at 4:am but then went up 1% to a new high at the close. and all this happened with wokenss at a high. The betting odds now favor the d's to win in Georgia and control everything. The Fang controlled 40% of the increase in wealth of the SP in line with Pareto's law. The Pres was at the height of popularity and the nadir. What can we see excet that the Markets loves socialism. the cancel culture of the university and the media and the education system, the contagion of living in the swamp, with 95% in favor of the deep state has reached a climax of wokenss and wealth for all the progenitors. those who saw a disastrous drop in business and a terrible precedent for individuality and capitalism led from behind. Its a topsy turvy world.

what will be have for next year. a big rise in December has been quite bull until end of Fed according to seasonal. with everything else topsy turvy we dare not predict beyond the technical.

I could add to the all time highs as readers have pointed out, the European and Japanese currencies and the real estate in non-coastal cities. perhaps the bell weather was bitcoin the new signaler of inflation and wokenss to come closing at 29400 and dragging old fashioness conservative gold to a 1 month high of 1900.

An excellent study of trend following in individual stocks https://cis.upenn.edu/~mkearns/finread/trend.pdf from 2005. anyone have an update?

I see that my former tennis partner noble winner has study that value stocks out perform growth stocks . I've found that nothing he reports is valid and would guess that growth stocks on a going forward basis will continue to outperf as Nas outperformed SP by 22% this year.

Dec

31

Zubin Al  writes: 

Each year I like to count the number of private jets parked during the holidays at the local FBO.  Many of the worlds richest people have homes here such as Bill Gates, Roberts of KKR, Charles Schwab, The Go Daddy guy, Dave Roux of Silverlake Partners…  and they all have private jets. The theory is that the rich know what's going on with the economy and is a tell for the future.

There are notably fewer jets this year. I counted 18 on Christmas and will update later today  on my way to foil big waves at the beach past the airport.  Usually the lot overflows to park jets on Maui and Oahu with 40 or more.

My take (and in theory the captain's of industry take)  is that this thing is not going to be over this next year, and will drag on.

Victor Niederhoffer  writes: 

Mr. Sogi I have had  numerous requests to interrupt you on my blog. when and  would you be a good time for that?

Zubin Al  writes: 

Usually around 1 pm Hawaii Time, maybe next week would be fine.  I just ask that you don't put me on the "spot" as you normally do when you ask me questions.  Pitch me some lobs for easy answers so I can avoid sounding too bad. 

Dec

31

Tweets-Dec/30/2020

December 31, 2020 | Leave a Comment

A sensible comment to a WSJ editorial of Holman Jenkins I bet there are more people suffering from anxiety and depression than there are people who died from the virus. All those small businesses that have closed. The isolation and disruption to your every day routines. 

Incumbent continues to do his best to reduce chances.

Bilious headline " us stocks drop after hope fades for expanded aid" 

Dec

30

Tweets-Dec/29/2020

December 30, 2020 | Leave a Comment

An abundance of yellow and abundance of all time highs for SP.

The woke that keeps on giving. about 50 times for at least 400 big points. whenever stimulus hopes are reduced the market plummet because not immediate gratification. Its always just a matter of time until d's ,male.

D's male a money out of r's and gain the week prize by augmenting the stimulus and making r's looks like scrooge until the r's reluctantly split the difference at first and then capitulate entirely to d's there by sanctifying that collectivism is all powerful, gov all

Powerful and wise and the individual doesn't know how to handle choice and capital at all.

Main contagion is the spread of woke among all the swamp and those who live there. r's are infected –afraid to rock the boat- upset their friends. r's keep succumbing to absurd biased views of dr. cattle. Supremes afraid of riots so don't wish to rocker's afraid of media.

Is they cover the son of the big guy and if as said they demean themselves by letting public have choice and business except on the coasts continue without draconian restrictions. phil kerpen has proper statistics on these matters.

Todays blog would have had prediction of seasonality in gold, review of NY posts tips for buying dogs and going with the sharps near the game and playing the under. all with direct correspondence to trading . also beautiful discussion of descent with modification form Princeton.

Guide to evolution and detailed discussion of Harvard trying to encourage aluminic to buy 10 venture capital pools they make up. Sure symptom of swan song of venture capital as Harvard has worst investment record of all by eschewing buying index funds and paying exorbitant.

One absurdity of Harvard fees to their employees is that they don't take into account the cost of raising capital. a normal hedge fund pays 10% fo the marketing manager who raises their money. Harvard is able to pull the wool over all the naïve profs by paying many employees.

20 times what the highest professor received. H points out that their adviser beat their bogey by x% and therefore made the endowment 20 million more than if had just bought an etf. you'd think that some prof would have the sense to point out the 100 flaws in this reasoning.

One wishes he had a fund of 50 billion under management and was paid inventive on how much a sector beats the bogey ( without regard to the misses) without regard to the funds the appeared from Heaven.

The Good one can only guess on how many fees are embedded in the 10 venture capital funds they offer to their naïve alumni . on the inside cover an ad for these funds of h magazine. you wouldn't believe things like this unless it was clear on the front cover.

Of course the below about H is just my opinion . however I would speculate that any errors I have made that paint a darker picture are counterbalanced many fold by darker items I have left out.

All attorneys should receive a course in the statistics with particular reference to what is the p probability of recording a sample of 10000 + where the percentage on one side is say 90% and another sample has a % on one side of (say 60% a knowledge of the binomial theorem and an ability to run rudimentary simulations is a good starter. the standard error of the outcome of observed from a sample of 10000 with p of 1/2 is 50 … If you observe say 5500 heads rather than the expected 5000 the chances of this occurring by chance is approx. 1 in billion.

Dec

30

Tweets-Dec/28/2020

December 30, 2020 | Leave a Comment

Victor Hansen predicts that the progressives are holding their fire until after the Georgia elections and then they will

Lower the bam and reveal some of the dark things that the big guy enfolds and this would be bearish for the market I think in the second week of Jan.

Dec

30

Tweets-Dec/27/2020

December 30, 2020 | Leave a Comment

Wiswell proverbs for board games , life, and markets inspired by Mr. Srivatsan. 1 " if you see a good move(trade) don't market it look for a better one: if you see a better move, don't make it. look for the best. 2.I know one player, player who does not smoke, cigars, cigarettes or a pipe. Dr. Marion Tinsley and his game is much better for it( he is generally considered the best checker player of all time. 3.Winning a loss. " a win is a win is a win". 4.Some are destroyed by defeat and some are made small by victory. Greatness lies on one who triumphs equally over defeat and victory (is) 5.Houdinie once said that checkers was the only riddle he could not solve.6 the real secret of patience is to continue thinking while its your opponents move not just when it's your move, your game is often less strong in the ending than it appeared in the opening. the truth of the matter is that it was lost in the middle.7. If you strike strike at a king. you must kill him, half measures will not work. 8. Some players set traps in the opening that in the end lead to their defeat. 9. It is always wise to remember that your opponent may be just as scheming as you. 10. Protect your own double corner, and use your use your single corner to attach your opponents double corner. remember a player with a strong double corner is double hard to corner. 11. a million years ago: the good old days. so many moves , so many variations, so many friends( now Wiswell and I will put on our hats and study some more) 

Dec

28

Tweets-Dec/24/2020

December 28, 2020 | Leave a Comment

Niederhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web 2020/12/24
Discussion of season market moves, P/E ratios, and Georgia senate race today.

Dec

28

Tweets-Dec/23/2020

December 28, 2020 | Leave a Comment

Market on 12 -22 gave typical example of how courage trumps everything with lessons from woke-stock market interaction and how not to do a study with infinite multiple classification

Niederhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web 2020/12/22 https://youtu.be/FgrD3rnapQQ via @YouTube. Here is video that captures courage and multiple classifications and woke

Tune in today's video for tribute to James Lorie the Mendeleyev, of stock market data, i.e. the builder of the stock market periodic table, and the key builder of the Chicago style of bus .education. also, a second father to me. also the incredible silliness of a 5o point decline 

Pulled a rabbit out of http://hat.at close very exciting day. many general principles meals for a life time to learn. Perhaps subscribe to my YouTube channel :

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC85UPcd0vziV3C8ShkRvfCA

The market loves to swoon anything incumbent.  last week is good example. last two days it had 5 panics when non-woke things flit thru tair. we covered some of them in video. the threat worse than execution et al. most important tribute to a great man my squash partner James Lorie.



Niederhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web 2020/12/23 https://youtu.be/pEARZITKJoQ via@YouTube 

Dec

28

Tweets-Dec/22/2020

December 28, 2020 | Leave a Comment

nooo better proof of the topsy turvy nature of the market is the sp 35 pt sellloff on the news that t he incumbent is pressuring the progressives to give more aid to the american rather tahan the foreigners. wself sacrifice is the calario calll of the progressives

but what is the likely outcome . either the incumbent willl get his way and the amercns would get more or he will not and the old billl will go thru.. now if he was threatening to cancel the Kennedy center 100 million or the smithsonian that would be a disaster for progsvs 

Dec

23

Tweets-Dec/21/2020

December 23, 2020 | Leave a Comment

Betting odds on r' winning in Georgia improve to 70 to 30 European markets down much. gold takes tour of court. Sogi standing solid

A roller coaster today with Sogi standing solid as a stone wall and an infinity of woke news a la Dalton's request that we all have equality by prostration and Bill Barr dealing a final coup de grace to his boss

Dec

21

Tweets-Dec/18/2020

December 21, 2020 | Leave a Comment

Niederhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web 2020/12/18
https://youtu.be/PJHkip0PN2w Fri Dec. 18 video gives advice on day trading, courage, and cane trading sparked by one of the biggest positive closes 30 pts in history

Dec 18 video I gave several tips for day trading. I would add two 1. never let a anyone know what your position is. 2. never admit to taking a profit.. 3. more controversial and trumps the other. 4. never day trade at all. 

Dec

18

Tweets-Dec/17/2020

December 18, 2020 | Leave a Comment

Niederhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web 2020/12/15 https://youtu.be/SZHshj_WwvE
Today's video covered some amazing, useful points. First, the incredible consilience of all the markets being at new highs including grains and all equity markets. (1 of 2)

Niederhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web 2020/12/15 https://youtu.be/SZHshj_WwvE What does this mean for inflation, and the ignoramuses at the BLS. We had an extremely interesting interview with Andy Aiken about all things crypto, the problems and cover-ups in the vaccine story. (2 of 2) 

Dec

17

Tweets-Dec/16/2020

December 17, 2020 | Leave a Comment

Niederhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web 2020/12/16 https://youtu.be/fwGlIqh7AsI with all ballyhoo, the market managed to close at an all time hi at 3694 basis march price changes were subdued. from 330 am to the close at 430 pm the total range was 7 pts from 3701 to 3690

Expect a wild day tomorrow Thursday 

Dec

16

Tweets-Dec/15/2020

December 16, 2020 | Leave a Comment

Some thing not cricket. vaccine news couldn't be all pacific. chance gardener tomorrow may not try to sink existing

The infra structure enacts another fee from the public.. yet another reason not to day trade

Mr. bell could run into a room and bet a light turning on from a lite switch or high frequency trade

Yet another reason in addition to the 5 others stacked against him previously that the incumbent lost The vaccine could have been rolled out in the summer, well before the current, predictable seasonal spike. Would have saved 150,000 lives. But solving the problem would

Solving the problem would also have re-elected President Trump, and there was no way the swamp would risk that. Heck, the left aborts that many children every month… from the WSJ editorial page

The vaccine could have been rolled out in the summer, well before the current, predictable seasonal spike. Would have saved 150,000 lives. But solving the problem would also have re-elected President Trump, ,there was no way the swamp would risk that. (from another WSJ comment

Apparently the results of the trials are rolled out to the FDA real time several weeks in advance of the announcement and big pharma at the top 9s uniformly woke as is the 95% at the FDA who vote woke. 

Dec

14

Tweets-Dec/14/2020

December 14, 2020 | Leave a Comment

It's a great day for the ""progressives" and bonds finally down 1 fall pt and gold down 14 $ .odds of senate staying r has fallen to 70% versus 80% a week ago. market loves that incumbent near 0 chance. if gains service 'rate raised to 100% the market would rise.

Niederhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web 2020/12/14 https://youtu.be/ERhKbIlwKfo via
@YouTube
what duplicity will the market infrastructure have in store http://today. How will Mr.. Sogi interact with the fomc . here is a take.

Dec

14

Tweets-Dec/13/2020

December 14, 2020 | Leave a Comment

What joy for the pessimists. Market down 3 days in row. but Sp, Dax, Nikkei, within 0.5 % of all time high

Niederhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web https://youtu.be/CteSgDyQgrY via@YouTube. The market is mysterious, unfathomable and all encompassing.. What evil lies in it is infrastructure. Daily market web takes a crack.

Dec

14

Tweets-Dec/12/2020

December 14, 2020 | Leave a Comment

Niederhoffer Sennett Market Daily Web #`1 https://youtu.be/kkUnTTfKt8Q via @YouTube start of new

Dec

14

Tweets-Dec/11/2020

December 14, 2020 | Leave a Comment

A madness involving a drop below year low, kraken, 3rd down day in a row, baseless unhinged claims, suppression of news of family profits,. what else is new?

Brexit breaks up for 52 nd time

Stimulus deal breakdown, its because of intransigence one ?side? if they ever pass it, one will predict a rout

There stands Mr. Sogi , balanced among big waves, solid as a stone wall on land

Ontogeny revaluate phylogeny all in one day today

The market was quite an adventure today even though it ended unchanged. the swings in one typical day today amounted to as much as the average rise in the index for a year.. here's a take on it. Niederhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web https://youtu.be/CteSgDyQgrY via @YouTube

Dec

11

Tweets-Dec/12/2020

December 11, 2020 | Leave a Comment

Niederhoffer Sennett Market Daily Web #`1 https://youtu.be/kkUnTTfKt8Q via @YouTube start of new

Dec

10

Tweets-Dec/9/2020

December 10, 2020 | Leave a Comment

38% of the days in 2019 and 2020 have ended with a 20 day hi in sp future as of close

wsj.com/articles/trumps-challenges-to-election-face-end-of-the-legal-road-11607518944?mod=hp_lead_pos6 how many biases against pres can you find in this from the wsj news dept and the fox coverage of same issue

WSJ market watch pulls out "sterling awaits last s upper on Brexit. only 8 years out of date. anything to sink orange from news dept.

Kona coffee tasting good in gold 

Dec

10

Tweets-Dec/8/2020

December 10, 2020 | Leave a Comment

Perhaps the strength of the SP these days and its assault on the round number of 3700. is that the betting odds favorite for Pres. in 2024 is Kamela Harris at 20% and Biden is 13% . Pres trump follows at 11%. as mentioned repeatedly the market loves the most "progressive"

The SP plays a lethal game with the round number once again at the close. how many time can you ask the object of your affection to come to your establishment and be rejected. and how will you feel when the answer is yet 

Dec

8

Tweets-Dec/7/2020

December 8, 2020 | Leave a Comment

slow steady inexorable rise to round so far.. but how caan one be tricked> what evil lies in the hearts of the market

Dec

7

Tweets-Dec/6/2020

December 7, 2020 | Leave a Comment

The round number has been hit at 3600. will bonds force it down , or will number not be the penumbra? only the shadow knows

that sh o udl be 3700. the progressives main arg'ument is that the digestive situation of a prominent orange attorney is not good 

Dec

7

Tweets-Dec/5/2020

December 7, 2020 | Leave a Comment

how many sp pts could you make if you caught the exct low and high of the day in 2020. ansr is 300 full sp pts on 3 separate days march 13 , march 16 and march 17 . thats 15000 for 1 contract or 10% on the underlying in one beautiful day. the average is 65 pts

Dec

7

Tweets-Dec/4/2020

December 7, 2020 | Leave a Comment

looks like another round number coming up to celebrate progressism perhaps the Georgia election is becoming more woke

Dec

7

Tweets-Dec/3/2020

December 7, 2020 | Leave a Comment

everything unchanged except gold at a 5day high recovering frm a 12% continuous swoon. the big traders , and infra structure giants must create extra vol today to swing the public inti switches and churning before employment

a nice dipsey doodle out of the blue sky the market devil is infinitely creative when it c0mes to causing the vig and churn

heard in the 27 th district of cal. a call is on hold from the surgeons dining room at va hospital . they wish to know from the congresswoman how the pfizer announcent effects the inverse ultra puts of Indonesia

you have to hand it to the market devils . in the last 15 minutes of the trading day they manged to bring sp from the high of day at 3680 to th low at 3645 and then bak to the middle at 3668. imposible but true. the reason why the best investor i knew James Lorie always said

"stick to buy and hold" 

Dec

3

Tweets-Dec/2/2020

December 3, 2020 | Leave a Comment

always remember that one of the main purposes of markets is to induce vig to make the public churn and generally to do the wrong thing

no betterexample of this is gold..itwent dlwncontinuusy 200 bucks about 9 in 10 days lat 2 weeks.whetherbitcoitnwent up or downwhether sp was up ordonw,whether thewokes were inascendancy ornnot. then out of clear blue sky yest it went up 40 bucks

np better example ofhtis is how the market movesaroundat the opening it goes above andbelwo teh sogi byy5 points. the only way you ca catchit is to do a market order..the high frequency boy beat you and create 1 fuull pointn of vig . i.e if yuselll a=whenits at 55 you're lucky

upi get 5375 for morehtna 5 contracts. if you try to disgusie your order, the clearing firms alll have algoriths to repor tyou to the excange. you have to sign a a doc when they haul you infor hiding your limits that you wont reveal the star chanbericeedings. if you try to

simulat e to reduce the vig edge,they charge you for spoofing. and the courts amaingly have been convinced that trying to lelvel the playingfield inone or a dozen ways is a crime where the punishment can be 1000 times the dollars at issue.

a numberof bkgmediasent memosoutthatwe face uncertaintimes and stocks coud go down for a hundred different reasons. are there more reasons now than the average of the last 100years. andif so is it bullish orbearsih. my favorite newspaper is one of the main culprit in this

but i have tos ay that the big data srive provider was 100% bearish before the electionto create a terriblel aura . but now they are much more neutral . again is this bull or bear: 

Dec

2

Tweets-Dec/1/2020

December 2, 2020 | Leave a Comment

The higher we go the more bearish and anti the wsj and market watch and others become

bonds down 2 full points flirtiing with 3 month lows and greeting ms kinsellen appropriately 

Nov

30

Tweets-Nov/30/2020

November 30, 2020 | Leave a Comment

a full marxian rally. they tried everything , the round number , the big decline at noon, but they couldn't keep it down

Nov

30

Tweets-Nov/29/2020

November 30, 2020 | Leave a Comment

does the sp tend to close at certain numbeer based on the tens digiit with inordinate frequency. ie.3620-3629 is labeled a 2. 267o- 2679 labeled a 7 ?

yes it tends to close att a 7 in the tens digit. chi squared = 20

closes at 0-99 245 closes at 100-199=218. closes at 200-299 = 225 closes at 700-800 =276 data for 1 -1 2019 to present 11-26 2020

Nov

30

Tweets-Nov/24/2020

November 30, 2020 | Leave a Comment

it was quite a fight. considering everything, the incumbent did well…. Now we' lll see how the progressives like the new economic order. and if they destroy themselves as in the French revolution.andwelll see how the market likes collectivism

i am asked to recommend a book ono the french rev. i recommend "voices of the French revolution by Richard Cobb… it has alll the events from contemperaneos souces withh illustrations and( you cna draw your own conclustions as to the similartiteis of today. robespierre et

https://acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-6817 inspired by one Big after another coming up with vaccines that replace placebos that lead to 0.5% incidence of disease

https://youtube.com/watch?v=3gg2Jv2ebns by chance study showing miniscy=ule efficacy of masks is from same caracker barrel of what i meant to send regardiing the marginal efficacy and absurd cost benefit of current crop of vaccines..we live intupsy turvy times. one is long gold

a type 1 error the fda gueards against . falsly rejacting a hypothesis that is true. a 5% prob of rejcitn s true is usually applied.. but not taken into consideratin are the type 2 errors for falsely accepting that a treatment doesnt work when it does. Andy Lo always

Andy Lo always on point with rigorous and useful analysis in finance and health https://alo.mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/FDA_26.pdf

 

Nov

30

Tweets-Nov/23/2020

November 30, 2020 | Leave a Comment

the key questioon with the vaccines is with alll thehoundred ofthousand + enrolled in the studies andthemanyhurdles concerning theregisteringof the results andthe histeresis in the results and the many steps that must occur to check and diagnose, why didnt the results

of at least one get reported before the election..i already reported the histeresis of one big pharma via a little bird.presumably the bird would have found morsels of wok e in the other two also. is there no non-woke in any of the three and counting for more

the applicants and the interests of camp kinsellla just hit a 4 year max

the great amerinvestor pokes some fun at me . he expresses theidea that the incumb mishandled the pandemic. but the incumb cleared all the bureacracy and infernal conservatism of the fda and got them to try to cure people without covering their tuches balancing the

benefits against ther side efects inrecord time.its just that appparently there is not one supporter in big pharma who is gratefull for the unchaining that the incumb facilitated. at

at least there was no one at big pharma with the courage to go agaiinst the polls and possibly help the incumbent by providing the good news that they knew about for sure in one case and could or should hav eknown about in the others. Profesor Peltzman is not

the grisly comparison would have applied here but bureacracy was overcome by the incumbent desptie the 99% at the cdc and dr. cattle trader who strove to prevent it

oh is there not one pharma there who had the result earlier pirates of penzance is there not one maiden

https://youtube.com/results?search_query=pirates+of+penzance+is+there+not+one+maiden

 

Nov

24

Tweets-Nov/22/2020

November 24, 2020 | Leave a Comment

reflections. 1/ the most improtant thing in markets and life is to be adaptable' the ability to adopt a way of life to the prevailing circumstances, the ability to find a way of achievingdesirable ends to the prevailing circumstancesn " the ability to siove a problem"

the adaptability qutoe is from Man on earth a fascinating sooy of how all different peooplel and occuarpions and geilgraphy adapt to their particular circumstances. 2 it brings to mind Barton Biggs excelletn book wealth war and wisdom. he gives numerous examples

https://goodreads.com/book/show/2243623.Wealth_War_and_Wisdom biggs shows how when darkest inworld war 2 an and t the us was losign battlbe iliek Pearl Haarbor and Rommel was mopping upp and fdr ad inaugurated to pessimism like we have wintessed the market looked ahead and went up amid a max of pessimsm

3 the psycholoogy of speculation harper 1926 containsmorewisdom about spec than alllthe nobel prizes that have come down the road for cognitivsbbiaes etc. Here a typical quote" the sold out bulll becomes wretchedly aware that he has dropped otuof the race before the course

sold out bull . 3 was completedand so has thrownout an opportunity to make milllions more " and to make matters worse thay want to make it in the same way thye missed it the first time 

4. the progressives areholding theirfire about meeing with acertain group espousing " matters" the understand that most votes feel that nowadsy ther is more like to be a bias for preference than discrimination. the progressives wailt until they settle in.then the deluge

the vaccination tests seem like their cost benefit is neg. i assume 25000 lacebo that had 100 positive versus2 5000 that had readl vaccine with only 5 who had disease. thus 0.4. % you get disease. and if you get it , chances are 2 you have sympoms. so for

100000 that didnt have test thhey 2 willl get symptoms the disruption to 99998 the time spent the possible side effects of the 99950 that take the vaccine would seem to be more han the net negative to the 2 who ddint take it. let's say im off by factor of 5 or 10. same conlsn.

many chemo drugs extend your life by 6 months at teh cost of 6 month to a year of misery and side effects and vistis away from home to hospital. ifis it worth it?

half of 45000 in study received placebo. so my figures seem to order of 5 or 10 to b3e correct

Nov

24

Tweets-Nov/21/2020

November 24, 2020 | Leave a Comment

holding your fire. the sp stayed within 1 pt ofr 3570 on every half hour until 345. then it dropped 30 pooitns in last 1 minutes. 2 Bernie wants to be labor secretary but is holding stridency back.3. the new economy forum holdsmeeting alll week to emphasize climate change

its apparent that the progressives are holding fire in many ways until their man is in control and theycan receive their reperations for support of challenger. query. what willl trnaspire when the final stretch drive, the climactic moment near end of race

Nov

24

Tweets-Nov/20/2020

November 24, 2020 | Leave a Comment

For the first time, white shoe man at treasury says somehting non-woke , i.e. bailotus willl not continue in force, and the market immediately drops 1%. why has he changed his colors? a meeting at wood shed with the incumbent?an effort to differentiate from Pocohontus?

one goes bak to theme of market s for last 3 months. the market loves collectivism. and when a free market thing is bruuited about it collapses

nasdaq futurues p laying foootsie with another constructal numer at 12000

all 38 half hour prices from yest at 8 pm within 2 points of 3570. this isnt cricket. how is the ;ublic goig to lose their proper amount. how is the infrastructures goign to generate volume? how r Members going to prospe ron a day like this holding fire until mond

Nov

24

Tweets-Nov/19/2020

November 24, 2020 | Leave a Comment

a close of down 1% that will resonate forever

the tech agrarians getting RICHER RElATIVE TO sta id investors 

muST BE bad news for incumbent nasdaq up 1% more than sp. hav you tested that?

heard at the Tresury. "welll split the difference " before native american takes ovef

Nov

23

Alex Castaldo writes: 

BUT THIS IS NO LONGER THE CASE. Since Monday October 26, 2020 the CME always uses 4pm as the settlement time. So the 4:15 price and the settlement are now different every day, not just on the last day of the month.

Steve Ellison writes: 

Thanks, Doc. I had done a double take a couple of times when the S&P 500 settlement price was completely outside the range of the last 15-minute bar. For example, on November 12 the range of the 16:00-16:15 period was 3543.75 to 3533.00, but the emini settlement price was 3532.50. Because I do intermarket analysis, I have long kept a separate database of each day's 16:00 price in the S&P 500 and other markets (US Eastern time).

Victor Niederhoffer  writes: 

more important what is the predictive  properties  of the move from 1600 to the real 1615 price

Nov

19

Tweets-Nov/17/2020

November 19, 2020 | Leave a Comment

the more agrarian we get, the more bullish we. are what the market need is an enumeration of all those who didnt vote agrarian, and systematic enumeration of their property as a door opener

Nov

16

Tweets-Nov/14/2020

November 16, 2020 | Leave a Comment

contrived, woke fictional story, queen s gambit part of Obama view of world. much better is harry dents the bobby fisher I knew

correction.excellent book that tells the real story of brilliant and memorable loesseresque chess pleyers from the 50's tp 70' s

Nov

16

Tweets-Nov/13/2020

November 16, 2020 | Leave a Comment

many ifs 1 " if the big pharma had announced or indicated reultas when they had them a week before elec.2 if the media hadnt black listed all news of son of chall.3 if Puppet scientist whose actions are like the cattle trader he loved gave his first positive talk befr elect

4. if media had dug in to finance and wealth of chal. family 5. if big bus and big tech wasnt 96% iin support and fin aid to chall. . What else would have changed results? 

Nov

13

Tweets-Nov/12/2020

November 13, 2020 | Leave a Comment

remember one of the main attributes ofthe market is to foce you to pay frothe infra structrue, the welllcapitalzied and the members. today its ina holding pattern. how can you dothe wrong thing

at least its honoring the man from Hawaii with the ukulele and the surfingr

ally at20.5 possible 

Nov

13

Tweets-Nov/11/2020

November 13, 2020 | Leave a Comment

new alll time highs in stocks.crude at 20 day hi gold at20 day low and b onds a gnat away from big lo. betting ods incumb has same chances at 13%to gain pres as Dems have to gain senate.

Nov

13

Tweets-Nov/10/2020

November 13, 2020 | Leave a Comment

a little bird that has access to the inside of a big companys vaccine results told me that the big comPANY had the results a week ago but didnt releave them until today as they didnt want to help a certain incumbent

some have responded to my little bird tweet that they feel it is funny. 1let me say first that I would never communicate soemthing like that unless i was quite certain that what the little bird said was true. 2. let me say it's notfunny. it's very sad that the poor

the poor personage not only had to overcome the 95% of emploees in the relevant agencies who supported the challenger, but also the ceo's of those working to create value for their consumers p

to say nothing about the scientist who wrote a love letter to the cattle trader and whose every utterance served to sink the incumbent inclluding his wapo interview the weekend before the election. on such smalll strands can a civiliztion destroy itself

it is good that my youngest daughter used her biochemistry degree to become a dr in a southern Medical school rather than working in the Pharma industry where she mite have interned

hello mr. sogi how the kona coffee a little higher ground than your surfing

accordingn to the betting odds(lott stossel) the chances that the r's will both lose the presidency and in conjuntion lose the senate is 20%

a hard fought game adjourned with winning chances

Nov

10

Tweets-Nov/9/2020

November 10, 2020 | Leave a Comment

some moves. bonds down to new 20 dat kiw at 17050, incumb odds up 3% at 10%, crude above 40 at 10 day hi,gold down 70, vaccine if 2 days ealiear would have changed election results. held bak to create misery

a tweeet from Mr.availla. thinking like a cynic spec " the best part is that theyheld bakthe vaccine news. a true american coup. doubtless pfizer needed the extra 3 days to access outcome

Nov

10

Tweets-Nov/8/2020

November 10, 2020 | Leave a Comment

market 1/2% away from all time high as collectivism reaches a max and guillotine comes into focus. also the largest rise from close to open ever

correction 3 rd largest rise from 1615 to 1815

we did it 3534 previous alll time closing hi

only 3 times its been up this much alll w ere up big form 3537 for alll susquent time periods that;s not a predicition  

just responding to a request from estimabel mr. tiger

Nov

9

Victor Niederhoffer writes: 

Report on what seems to avalla and me likek pfizer held bak their results.  was   it planned to be after election or did they just report it  late. eitherway, its very suspicious and  certainly affected the electio

K. K. Law writes: 

Need to dig into it to find the truth. It is entirely possible the MSM plus many tech companies including big pharmas are behind influencing the election to make sure Trump lose. As much as the left "wishes" to put the election behind, this is far from being done. It is not until the Supreme Court has made the final decision after reviewing all the submitted evidences and hearing sworn testimonies. I saw the words, "Hear, Hear." Exactly, let us hear what the Supreme Court has to decide and say. The election and the trades are interrelated. There are chances one may have to switch back to "Biden lose, Trump win" trades. We shall see.

Jordan Neuman writes: 

The SuJordan Neumanpreme Court will probably not take the cases.  

Gus Glads writes: 

Pfizer made its timeline very clear from the beginning. Was transparent from the start. The company outlined its process and gave a clear roadmap in October. Read below. Additionally, Pfizer from the beginning has never been part of Operation Warp Speed and has not taken any govt money for R&D.

https://www.pfizer.com/news/hot-topics/an_open_letter_from_pfizer_chairman_and_ceo_albert_bourla?linkId=102134275

As for the Supreme Court. Trump and his “legal” team was 0-10 entering today in courts across America  since Election Day as it relates to cases of election fraud and this morning his team’s most recent attempt in Lansing, Michigan Cout of Appeals was rejected by Judge Cynthia Stephens with the following language: “I regret to inform you that your submission is defective.”  The reason being the submission was missing 4 key elements of evidence and support that they claimed to possess.

Nov

9

Tweets-Nov/6/2020

November 9, 2020 | Leave a Comment

playing footsie with the round number of 3500 as woke prepare to take vengeance and exculpatory congrats to r's come down the pike

for the market to be commpletly happy and marxism to reach its acme the d's would have to take senate whitch seems 5 times more likely than thei ncumbent winning at this stage

there are quite a few red marks on the ladies nylons

what they all have in common " blue wave that wasnt","strong showing in red states", " resurgence in Latino and black voters " " how did r's avert disaster","the turnaround in R's showiing so much better than polls" all attempts to congrat and mollifu r's for losing 

Nov

6

Tweets-Nov/5/2020

November 6, 2020 | Leave a Comment

correction typo the fomc should be bulll today… theyre on their guard

Nov

6

Tweets-Nov/4/2020

November 6, 2020 | Leave a Comment

hpe springs eternal but ultimately the odds willl go to 1 % incumbent and theyll stilll be fighting and excusing rather than succombing to marxism.. its good to be a good loser. shake te tooher persons hand . thank the referree and see wahat youve leaarned formyour def

and ater shakig hands a re compplimenting the winner. of course " hows Soros

and of course after the " hows soros" … can I get you and your running mate a drink.. many times i've been in a similar position to the loser. i can remember t han all. how it hurts to go bak to the locket room and see what you[ve learned and h ow to regroup

tomorrow another day for market. and the Fed should be contrite and learning to marx but this time enough is enough and the market mite succomb

There are so many news opinions about how the incumbent did so much better than the polls showing how good the effort was and how he should be congratulated. It reminds me of all the articles that cast aspersions on a champion who was the favorite and win a hard 5 set match.

those are the kind that one loves to win. gives the loser a undeserved does of confidence . but the pleasure is greatest when you win a close one as it so demoralizes the loses and cases him so much pain

leaves the looes and his supported with a box of "if onlys" ratjer than getting bak to the drawing boards and fixing his game.

B litigated against nephew Karl. ( finaly won by threatening to move bak to Bonn). Lert us hope that the former incumbent doesnt make the same mistake as B and Ryan. as out friend, the great wiswell said "after a loss it's bak to the drawing boards rite away 

Nov

6

Tweets-Nov/3/2020

November 6, 2020 | Leave a Comment

the late money favors plywood futures

bonds up at new high stocks at minimum down 21. marxists are losing. least senate will be rep ublica n

same results for sp as last time. oddnow 20 1 in favor trump. as soon as odds starting go for trum the spwnet u50 ppts form 3350 to 3410 . bods nwo up only 1 1/2 pointsp

odds now 69.5 % for trump to win and 30% fior biiden to win from lott stpssel site. funny to see the odds chanbe y 33.5% for tump and -34% for biden in last day

Nov

6

Tweets-Nov/1/2020

November 6, 2020 | Leave a Comment

very rare consilience of 20 day minum in bonds and sp both as of friday close;;this too will pass, especially 10 days later for both

cnn.com/2020/10/30/health/household-spread-covid-19-wellness/index.html the swamp continue to do whatever they can to do incumbent in.. the study seems lie propaganda. how woudlyou refute it? for one k what is the symptiom and outcome rate?

Nov

2

lets Try

November 2, 2020 | Leave a Comment

Victor Niederhoffer  writes: 

Tony Bobulinski held presser claiming Joe Biden knew about Hunter's business deals

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aiiSq7toqlQ

Bill Egan writes: 

Bill Rafter has a very nice model.

Yes, rolling windows mean you cannot use standard inference.

So what?

Use the levels and turning points and curve shapes. Apply visual pattern recognition.

Look back over 20-30 years and see how it performs. For example, high volatility vs low volatility years can cause differences.

You are missing out on $$$ by insisting on using only methods where inference works.

Nov

2

lets try

November 2, 2020 | Leave a Comment

Victor Niederhoffer  writes: 

Tony Bobulinski held presser claiming Joe Biden knew about Hunter's business deals

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aiiSq7toqlQ

Bill Egan writes: 

Bill Rafter has a very nice model.

Yes, rolling windows mean you cannot use standard inference.

So what?

Use the levels and turning points and curve shapes. Apply visual pattern recognition.

Look back over 20-30 years and see how it performs. For example, high volatility vs low volatility years can cause differences.

You are missing out on $$$ by insisting on using only methods where inference works.

Nov

2

Tweets-Oct/29/2020

November 2, 2020 | Leave a Comment

cellophane big guy wiens his lead in betting odds slitely markets at 20 day minimum should be up from here by closes

residents of big ciities whether red or blue prepare for storming of bastille by hiring armed guards .

at lest the bonds at a new 20 day low dont want bailoutws and lock downs

free associations venezuala , e Germany vers w germany, Us as failed nation, many replete with inequities, waiting liens at emergency rooms, paying 50% more for health plans, young people losing opp to invest in future, activities that make life worth livng,, French Rev.

reflexively racist,pessimistic view, cllapsed buildings, "unrest collapsed buildings, monuments, cancel culture,smartest guy I know, likely cabinet intellect, market prefers collectivism, betting odds at 70%, 400 million arbitraged,,bookies dont allow for 52 % against

pessimism about country carries over to nasdaq, stocks just a gnat above tues, low and 20 day low at 11200, earnings reports all beats brought nas down 2%

an interesting read from commentary carried by the wssj

the final quote is timeless. commentary poitn sout that Trump is not a wel mannered conservative who speaks in elegant terms and reads good boooks. He s like the coommon man that Truman was. he consludes " The average american is a common man . As a result we are the

we are the riches, powerful, tolerant, and freeist in Human human history

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