| Daily Speculations |
| Data for April
10, 2003 column: "Why Stocks Should Rise 19%
This Year" |
| http://moneycentral.msn.com/content/P45010.asp |
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| Table
shows proportion of equity raised to total equity plus
debt |
| (All U.S.
stocks 1927-2002) |
|
|
|
Equity Raised ($ mlns) |
% Equity |
Next year's return (%) |
|
| 1927 |
1,724 |
27 |
37.9 |
|
| 1928 |
3,396 |
50 |
-11.9 |
|
| 1929 |
6.757 |
72 |
-28.5 |
|
| 1930 |
1,526 |
31 |
-47.1 |
|
| 1931 |
343 |
14 |
-15.1 |
|
| 1932 |
24 |
4 |
46.6 |
|
| 1933 |
152 |
40 |
-5.9 |
|
| 1934 |
35 |
7 |
41.4 |
|
| 1935 |
150 |
7 |
27.9 |
|
| 1936 |
552 |
12 |
-38.6 |
|
| 1937 |
760 |
31 |
25.2 |
|
| 1938 |
96 |
4 |
-5.5 |
|
| 1939 |
185 |
9 |
-15.3 |
|
| 1940 |
328 |
12 |
-17.9 |
|
| 1941 |
299 |
11 |
12.4 |
|
| 1942 |
129 |
12 |
19.4 |
|
| 1943 |
174 |
16 |
13.8 |
|
| 1944 |
512 |
16 |
30.7 |
|
| 1945 |
1,313 |
21 |
-11.9 |
|
| 1946 |
2,073 |
32 |
0 |
|
| 1947 |
1,502 |
24 |
-0.7 |
|
| 1948 |
932 |
16 |
10.3 |
|
| 1949 |
1,161 |
19 |
21.8 |
|
| 1950 |
1,445 |
23 |
16.5 |
|
| 1951 |
2,050 |
26 |
11.8 |
|
| 1952 |
1,930 |
20 |
-6.6 |
|
| 1953 |
1,815 |
20 |
45 |
|
| 1954 |
2,029 |
21 |
26.4 |
|
| 1955 |
3 |
28 |
2.6 |
|
| 1956 |
2,937 |
27 |
-14.3 |
|
| 1957 |
2,924 |
23 |
38.1 |
|
| 1958 |
1,905 |
16 |
8.5 |
|
| 1959 |
2,558 |
26 |
-3 |
|
| 1960 |
2,073 |
20 |
23.1 |
|
| 1961 |
3,744 |
28 |
-11.8 |
|
| 1962 |
1,736 |
16 |
18.9 |
|
| 1963 |
1,364 |
11 |
13 |
|
| 1964 |
3,091 |
22 |
9.1 |
|
| 1965 |
2,272 |
14 |
-13.1 |
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| 1966 |
2,513 |
14 |
20.1 |
|
| 1967 |
2,844 |
11 |
7.7 |
|
| 1968 |
4,583 |
21 |
-11.4 |
|
| 1969 |
8,396 |
31 |
0.1 |
|
| 1970 |
8,680 |
22 |
10.8 |
|
| 1971 |
12,961 |
29 |
15.6 |
|
| 1972 |
13,061 |
31 |
-17.4 |
|
| 1973 |
11,122 |
33 |
-29.7 |
|
| 1974 |
6,247 |
16 |
31.5 |
|
| 1975 |
10,863 |
20 |
19.1 |
|
| 1976 |
11,094 |
21 |
-11.5 |
|
| 1977 |
11,777 |
22 |
1.1 |
|
| 1978 |
10,358 |
22 |
12.3 |
|
| 1979 |
11,325 |
22 |
25.8 |
|
| 1980 |
20,489 |
28 |
-9.7 |
|
| 1981 |
25,349 |
36 |
14.8 |
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| 1982 |
30,562 |
36 |
17.3 |
|
| 1983 |
51,579 |
43 |
1.4 |
|
| 1984 |
22,628 |
17 |
26.3 |
|
| 1985 |
35,515 |
18 |
14.6 |
|
| 1986 |
61,830 |
16 |
2 |
|
| 1987 |
53,349 |
15 |
12.4 |
|
| 1988 |
42,455 |
11 |
27.3 |
|
| 1989 |
32,203 |
10 |
-6.6 |
|
| 1990 |
23,441 |
8 |
26.3 |
|
| 1991 |
65,268 |
15 |
4.5 |
|
| 1992 |
78,457 |
15 |
7.1 |
|
| 1993 |
101,554 |
14 |
-1.5 |
|
| 1994 |
60,398 |
12 |
34.1 |
|
| 1995 |
68,473 |
12 |
20.3 |
|
| 1996 |
112,546 |
20 |
31 |
|
| 1997 |
136,005 |
15 |
26.7 |
|
| 1998 |
96,636 |
9 |
19.5 |
|
| 1999 |
172,870 |
15 |
-10.1 |
|
| 2000 |
184,688 |
15 |
-13 |
|
| 2001 |
79,625 |
6 |
-23.4 |
|
| 2002 |
75,195 |
6 |
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| 2003 |
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| Source:
Federal Reserve Bulletin, Spec Duo updates |
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